The North Atlantic Treaty Organization maintains institutional continuity through binding treaty obligations and procedural requirements for any member's exit or alliance termination, with no state having issued formal denunciation notices as of mid-2026. The June 2025 summit in The Hague produced a collective commitment to raise defense spending targets to 5% of GDP by 2035, alongside confirmation that all allies met the prior 2% benchmark, reflecting sustained investment amid ongoing security challenges. Legal constraints in key capitals, including U.S. Senate consent thresholds for withdrawal, further limit rapid structural change. Upcoming deliberations at the July 2026 summit in Türkiye represent the primary near-term forum for alliance adjustments, though trader consensus assigns low probability to dissolution scenarios absent unprecedented multilateral rupture or coordinated exits.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$107,848 交易量
$107,848 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$107,848 交易量
$107,848 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The North Atlantic Treaty Organization maintains institutional continuity through binding treaty obligations and procedural requirements for any member's exit or alliance termination, with no state having issued formal denunciation notices as of mid-2026. The June 2025 summit in The Hague produced a collective commitment to raise defense spending targets to 5% of GDP by 2035, alongside confirmation that all allies met the prior 2% benchmark, reflecting sustained investment amid ongoing security challenges. Legal constraints in key capitals, including U.S. Senate consent thresholds for withdrawal, further limit rapid structural change. Upcoming deliberations at the July 2026 summit in Türkiye represent the primary near-term forum for alliance adjustments, though trader consensus assigns low probability to dissolution scenarios absent unprecedented multilateral rupture or coordinated exits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 8, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
交易量
$107,848结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 8, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The North Atlantic Treaty Organization maintains institutional continuity through binding treaty obligations and procedural requirements for any member's exit or alliance termination, with no state having issued formal denunciation notices as of mid-2026. The June 2025 summit in The Hague produced a collective commitment to raise defense spending targets to 5% of GDP by 2035, alongside confirmation that all allies met the prior 2% benchmark, reflecting sustained investment amid ongoing security challenges. Legal constraints in key capitals, including U.S. Senate consent thresholds for withdrawal, further limit rapid structural change. Upcoming deliberations at the July 2026 summit in Türkiye represent the primary near-term forum for alliance adjustments, though trader consensus assigns low probability to dissolution scenarios absent unprecedented multilateral rupture or coordinated exits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$107,848结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 8, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The North Atlantic Treaty Organization maintains institutional continuity through binding treaty obligations and procedural requirements for any member's exit or alliance termination, with no state having issued formal denunciation notices as of mid-2026. The June 2025 summit in The Hague produced a collective commitment to raise defense spending targets to 5% of GDP by 2035, alongside confirmation that all allies met the prior 2% benchmark, reflecting sustained investment amid ongoing security challenges. Legal constraints in key capitals, including U.S. Senate consent thresholds for withdrawal, further limit rapid structural change. Upcoming deliberations at the July 2026 summit in Türkiye represent the primary near-term forum for alliance adjustments, though trader consensus assigns low probability to dissolution scenarios absent unprecedented multilateral rupture or coordinated exits.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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