Market icon

Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?

Market icon

Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?

Project Hail Mary 99.3%

Hoppers <1%

The Bride <1%

Polymarket

$104,619 Vol.

Project Hail Mary 99.3%

Hoppers <1%

The Bride <1%

Polymarket

$104,619 Vol.

Project Hail Mary

$31,189 Vol.

99%

Hoppers

$65,673 Vol.

1%

The Bride

$7,757 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Project Hail Mary dominates trader sentiment with a 99.3% implied probability as the highest domestically grossing March release on April 30, fueled by its record-shattering $80.5 million opening weekend on March 20 and impressive legs—boasting $186.5 million domestic to date despite a later debut than rivals. Ryan Gosling's star draw, the Andy Weir bestseller adaptation, glowing word-of-mouth, and IMAX premium format appeal have sustained strong holds, including a mere 32% second-weekend drop to $54 million, creating an insurmountable $33 million lead over Pixar's Hoppers ($153 million, run ended April 9) and The Bride!'s flop ($12.7 million). With three weeks left, only a catastrophic collapse from new competition could enable a Hoppers upset via exceptional late legs, though its trajectory renders that improbable.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$104,619
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 6:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Project Hail Mary dominates trader sentiment with a 99.3% implied probability as the highest domestically grossing March release on April 30, fueled by its record-shattering $80.5 million opening weekend on March 20 and impressive legs—boasting $186.5 million domestic to date despite a later debut than rivals. Ryan Gosling's star draw, the Andy Weir bestseller adaptation, glowing word-of-mouth, and IMAX premium format appeal have sustained strong holds, including a mere 32% second-weekend drop to $54 million, creating an insurmountable $33 million lead over Pixar's Hoppers ($153 million, run ended April 9) and The Bride!'s flop ($12.7 million). With three weeks left, only a catastrophic collapse from new competition could enable a Hoppers upset via exceptional late legs, though its trajectory renders that improbable.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$104,619
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 6:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Related

Market icon

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?

98%
Market icon

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

10%
Dune 3
Market icon

Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

51%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Project Hail Mary" at 99%, followed by "Hoppers" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?" has generated $104.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?" is "Project Hail Mary" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hoppers" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.