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Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11

Market icon

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11

Apr 6

Apr 6

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 59%

SWIM - BTS 40.9%

Stateside - PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson <1%

Man I Need - Olivia Dean <1%

Polymarket

$15,758 Vol.

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 59%

SWIM - BTS 40.9%

Stateside - PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson <1%

Man I Need - Olivia Dean <1%

Polymarket

$15,758 Vol.

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$8,653 Vol.

59%

SWIM - BTS

$4,567 Vol.

41%

Stateside - PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson

$313 Vol.

<1%

Man I Need - Olivia Dean

$650 Vol.

<1%

I Just Might - Bruno Mars

$250 Vol.

<1%

Ordinary - Alex Warren

$286 Vol.

<1%

Golden - HUNTR/X

$307 Vol.

<1%

So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean

$240 Vol.

<1%

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift

$237 Vol.

<1%

Father - Kanye West ft. Travis Scott

$255 Vol.

<1%

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 11, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" leads Polymarket trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability to top the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated April 11, fueled by its sustained dominance—four prior weeks at No. 1 as the first country solo female smash to crossover there—bolstered by a fresh music video release and year-to-date sales supremacy. BTS' "SWIM," fresh off a sales-propelled No. 1 debut last week (154,000 units, 15.3 million streams, 25.8 million radio impressions from their ARIRANG album), trails at 36.8% as debut longevity proves fleeting without repeat sales surges. Early tracking favors Ella's radio and streaming stability amid competition, with midweek updates through April 9 poised to sway final points in this closely watched battle.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 11, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$15,758
End Date
Apr 6, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 11, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 11, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" leads Polymarket trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability to top the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated April 11, fueled by its sustained dominance—four prior weeks at No. 1 as the first country solo female smash to crossover there—bolstered by a fresh music video release and year-to-date sales supremacy. BTS' "SWIM," fresh off a sales-propelled No. 1 debut last week (154,000 units, 15.3 million streams, 25.8 million radio impressions from their ARIRANG album), trails at 36.8% as debut longevity proves fleeting without repeat sales surges. Early tracking favors Ella's radio and streaming stability amid competition, with midweek updates through April 9 poised to sway final points in this closely watched battle.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 11, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$15,758
End Date
Apr 6, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 11, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 59%, followed by "SWIM - BTS" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11" has generated $15.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11" is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "SWIM - BTS" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 11" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.