Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects intense uncertainty over the first substitute for White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, who has handled all briefings since her January 2025 appointment without any acting stand-ins to date, resulting in a dead heat among deputies like Abigail Jackson (recently addressing a potential Democrat shutdown) and Liz Huston (White House communications staff), both at 49.5%, alongside Anna Kelly and Taylor Rogers. High-profile outsiders such as Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins and Chief of Staff Susie Wiles hover nearby due to their visibility in administration events, but internal press team members dominate as procedural defaults. The race stays tight absent Leavitt's first absence—via vacation, illness, or scheduling conflict—or an official hierarchy announcement, with her recent active schedule including Iran updates and Easter previews maintaining the status quo.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLiz Huston 26%
Donald Trump 26%
Anna Kelly 24%
Brooke Rollins 22%
NEW
NEW
May 31, 2026
Liz Huston
26%
Donald Trump
26%
Anna Kelly
24%
Brooke Rollins
22%
Abigail Jackson
21%
Peter Hegseth
18%
Erika Kirk
15%
Linda McMahon
13%
Taylor Rogers
25%
Scott Bessent
12%
Stephen Miller
11%
Susie Wiles
11%
JD Vance
11%
Tom Homan
11%
Marco Rubio
8%
Howard Lutnick
7%
Pamela Bondi
6%
Liz Huston 26%
Donald Trump 26%
Anna Kelly 24%
Brooke Rollins 22%
NEW
NEW
May 31, 2026
Liz Huston
$0 Vol.
26%
Donald Trump
$0 Vol.
26%
Anna Kelly
$0 Vol.
24%
Brooke Rollins
$0 Vol.
22%
Abigail Jackson
$0 Vol.
21%
Peter Hegseth
$0 Vol.
18%
Erika Kirk
$0 Vol.
15%
Linda McMahon
$0 Vol.
13%
Taylor Rogers
$600 Vol.
25%
Scott Bessent
$0 Vol.
12%
Stephen Miller
$0 Vol.
11%
Susie Wiles
$0 Vol.
11%
JD Vance
$0 Vol.
11%
Tom Homan
$0 Vol.
11%
Marco Rubio
$0 Vol.
8%
Howard Lutnick
$0 Vol.
7%
Pamela Bondi
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects intense uncertainty over the first substitute for White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, who has handled all briefings since her January 2025 appointment without any acting stand-ins to date, resulting in a dead heat among deputies like Abigail Jackson (recently addressing a potential Democrat shutdown) and Liz Huston (White House communications staff), both at 49.5%, alongside Anna Kelly and Taylor Rogers. High-profile outsiders such as Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins and Chief of Staff Susie Wiles hover nearby due to their visibility in administration events, but internal press team members dominate as procedural defaults. The race stays tight absent Leavitt's first absence—via vacation, illness, or scheduling conflict—or an official hierarchy announcement, with her recent active schedule including Iran updates and Easter previews maintaining the status quo.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$600End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects intense uncertainty over the first substitute for White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, who has handled all briefings since her January 2025 appointment without any acting stand-ins to date, resulting in a dead heat among deputies like Abigail Jackson (recently addressing a potential Democrat shutdown) and Liz Huston (White House communications staff), both at 49.5%, alongside Anna Kelly and Taylor Rogers. High-profile outsiders such as Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins and Chief of Staff Susie Wiles hover nearby due to their visibility in administration events, but internal press team members dominate as procedural defaults. The race stays tight absent Leavitt's first absence—via vacation, illness, or scheduling conflict—or an official hierarchy announcement, with her recent active schedule including Iran updates and Easter previews maintaining the status quo.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
Volume
$600End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects intense uncertainty over the first substitute for White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, who has handled all briefings since her January 2025 appointment without any acting stand-ins to date, resulting in a dead heat among deputies like Abigail Jackson (recently addressing a potential Democrat shutdown) and Liz Huston (White House communications staff), both at 49.5%, alongside Anna Kelly and Taylor Rogers. High-profile outsiders such as Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins and Chief of Staff Susie Wiles hover nearby due to their visibility in administration events, but internal press team members dominate as procedural defaults. The race stays tight absent Leavitt's first absence—via vacation, illness, or scheduling conflict—or an official hierarchy announcement, with her recent active schedule including Iran updates and Easter previews maintaining the status quo.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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