Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190 22%
195-199 20%
190-194 18%
200-204 12%
$16,953 Vol.
$16,953 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
$4,762 Vol.
22%
190-194
$1,340 Vol.
18%
195-199
$3,402 Vol.
20%
200-204
$877 Vol.
12%
205-209
$1,156 Vol.
11%
210-214
$1,162 Vol.
8%
215-219
$1,298 Vol.
8%
220-224
$1,672 Vol.
4%
225-229
$803 Vol.
1%
230+
$481 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Created At: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$16,953End Date
Nov 3, 2026Created At
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190 22%
195-199 20%
190-194 18%
200-204 12%
$16,953 Vol.
$16,953 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
$4,762 Vol.
22%
190-194
$1,340 Vol.
18%
195-199
$3,402 Vol.
20%
200-204
$877 Vol.
12%
205-209
$1,156 Vol.
11%
210-214
$1,162 Vol.
8%
215-219
$1,298 Vol.
8%
220-224
$1,672 Vol.
4%
225-229
$803 Vol.
1%
230+
$481 Vol.
1%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Below 190" at 22%, followed by "195-199" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?" has generated $17K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?" is "Below 190" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "195-199" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions