Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

25 bps decrease

Yes2%No98%

$106K Vol.

Canada recession before 2027?

30%

chance

Yes

$39K Vol.

Another Canada election called by June 30?

19%

chance

Yes

$61K Vol.

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

chance

Yes

$33K Vol.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

60%

chance

Yes

$73K Vol.

Quebec General Election Winner

63%

Yes63%No37%

PLQ

28%

Yes28%No72%

$154K Vol.

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

51%

chance

Yes

$80K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

29%

chance

Yes

$30K Vol.

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

12%

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

chance

Yes

$19K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

32%

chance

Yes

$96K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

12%

chance

Yes

NEW

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

18%

chance

Yes

$28K Vol.

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0%

15%

Yes15%No85%

1.0–1.4%

Yes1%No99%

NEW

Daily

Will Alberta join the US?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↑1.50

34%

Yes34%No66%

↑1.45

51%

Yes51%No49%

NEW

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

41%

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

50%

Down

NEW

Bank of Canada decision in April?

50+ bps decrease

Yes2%No98%

25 bps decrease

11%

Yes11%No89%

NEW

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

≤6.2%

40%

Yes40%No60%

6.3%

Yes22%No78%

NEW

Monthly

All

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Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

25 bps decrease

Yes2%No98%

$106K Vol.

Canada recession before 2027?

30%

chance

Yes

$39K Vol.

Another Canada election called by June 30?

19%

chance

Yes

$61K Vol.

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

chance

Yes

$33K Vol.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

60%

chance

Yes

$73K Vol.

Quebec General Election Winner

63%

Yes63%No37%

PLQ

28%

Yes28%No72%

$154K Vol.

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

51%

chance

Yes

$80K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

29%

chance

Yes

$30K Vol.

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

12%

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

chance

Yes

$19K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

32%

chance

Yes

$96K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

12%

chance

Yes

NEW

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

18%

chance

Yes

$28K Vol.

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0%

15%

Yes15%No85%

1.0–1.4%

Yes1%No99%

NEW

Daily

Will Alberta join the US?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↑1.50

34%

Yes34%No66%

↑1.45

51%

Yes51%No49%

NEW

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

41%

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

50%

Down

NEW

Bank of Canada decision in April?

50+ bps decrease

Yes2%No98%

25 bps decrease

11%

Yes11%No89%

NEW

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

≤6.2%

40%

Yes40%No60%

6.3%

Yes22%No78%

NEW

Monthly

Canada Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

Canada recession before 2027?

Another Canada election called by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Quebec General Election Winner

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Will Alberta join the US?

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Bank of Canada decision in April?

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

Canada recession before 2027?

Another Canada election called by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Quebec General Election Winner

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Will Alberta join the US?

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Bank of Canada decision in April?

February Unemployment Rate - Canada