Traders assign a 95.8% probability to Alberta remaining outside the United States because Canadian constitutional rules require federal and provincial approvals plus First Nations consent for any territorial change, while U.S. statehood demands congressional action and treaty renegotiations with Canada. Recent Alberta Prosperity Project signature drives have placed an October 2026 independence referendum on the ballot, yet polling shows committed support below 30%, with direct U.S. accession favored by far fewer residents. U.S. Treasury comments describing Alberta as a potential partner and limited State Department meetings with separatists have not produced annexation proposals or shifts in official policy. Canadian leaders continue to stress sovereignty, and no legislative or diplomatic pathway has advanced. Even a successful independence vote would face prolonged negotiations, economic integration hurdles, and public opposition before any U.S. statehood scenario could emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$646,087 Vol.
$646,087 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$646,087 Vol.
$646,087 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders assign a 95.8% probability to Alberta remaining outside the United States because Canadian constitutional rules require federal and provincial approvals plus First Nations consent for any territorial change, while U.S. statehood demands congressional action and treaty renegotiations with Canada. Recent Alberta Prosperity Project signature drives have placed an October 2026 independence referendum on the ballot, yet polling shows committed support below 30%, with direct U.S. accession favored by far fewer residents. U.S. Treasury comments describing Alberta as a potential partner and limited State Department meetings with separatists have not produced annexation proposals or shifts in official policy. Canadian leaders continue to stress sovereignty, and no legislative or diplomatic pathway has advanced. Even a successful independence vote would face prolonged negotiations, economic integration hurdles, and public opposition before any U.S. statehood scenario could emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
音量
$646,087終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders assign a 95.8% probability to Alberta remaining outside the United States because Canadian constitutional rules require federal and provincial approvals plus First Nations consent for any territorial change, while U.S. statehood demands congressional action and treaty renegotiations with Canada. Recent Alberta Prosperity Project signature drives have placed an October 2026 independence referendum on the ballot, yet polling shows committed support below 30%, with direct U.S. accession favored by far fewer residents. U.S. Treasury comments describing Alberta as a potential partner and limited State Department meetings with separatists have not produced annexation proposals or shifts in official policy. Canadian leaders continue to stress sovereignty, and no legislative or diplomatic pathway has advanced. Even a successful independence vote would face prolonged negotiations, economic integration hurdles, and public opposition before any U.S. statehood scenario could emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$646,767終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 95.8% probability to Alberta remaining outside the United States because Canadian constitutional rules require federal and provincial approvals plus First Nations consent for any territorial change, while U.S. statehood demands congressional action and treaty renegotiations with Canada. Recent Alberta Prosperity Project signature drives have placed an October 2026 independence referendum on the ballot, yet polling shows committed support below 30%, with direct U.S. accession favored by far fewer residents. U.S. Treasury comments describing Alberta as a potential partner and limited State Department meetings with separatists have not produced annexation proposals or shifts in official policy. Canadian leaders continue to stress sovereignty, and no legislative or diplomatic pathway has advanced. Even a successful independence vote would face prolonged negotiations, economic integration hurdles, and public opposition before any U.S. statehood scenario could emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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