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Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
33%
chance
Yes
No
$6m Vol.
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?
January 11
4%
January 12
8%
$1m Vol.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
42%
$3m Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
14%
$784k Vol.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
59%
$932k Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
48%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
51%
$2m Vol.
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
January 10
6%
100%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
29%
$960k Vol.
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
January 9
<1%
53%
$836k Vol.
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
June 30, 2026
17%
December 31, 2026
19%
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
55%
$898k Vol.
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
1%
$657k Vol.
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
January 31
9%
June 30
36%
$222k Vol.
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
$272k Vol.
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
15%
23%
$522k Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
38%
$420k Vol.
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
March 31, 2026
56%
66%
$4m Vol.
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?
63%
March 31
77%
$75k Vol.
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
50%
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