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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$11m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
15%
$8m Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…?
January 15
5%
January 31
38%
$2m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
45%
$6m Vol.
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
January 31, 2026
24%
February 28, 2026
55%
$4m Vol.
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
7%
$272k Vol.
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by...?
January 11
26%
January 17
71%
$18k Vol.
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
$298k Vol.
Nuclear weapon detonation by...?
March 31
June 30
$166k Vol.
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
10%
$1m Vol.
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
30%
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
12%
57%
$999k Vol.
Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?
$42k Vol.
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
9%
$24k Vol.
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
$181k Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
1%
11%
$963k Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
19%
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
23%
$169k Vol.
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?
4%
$78k Vol.
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
$69k Vol.
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