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Politics·Ukraine

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Ukraine

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

19% chance
Polymarket

$1,954,637 Vol.

19% chance
Polymarket

$1,954,637 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukraine's ongoing martial law, extended by parliament until May 4, 2026, constitutionally bars presidential elections, solidifying President Zelenskyy's position amid the Russian invasion. Recent statements from the electoral commission on March 19 ruled out 2026 votes, deeming fair polls impossible until six months post-ceasefire, directly rebuffing U.S. President Trump's calls and affirming wartime legitimacy. Zelenskyy's approval ratings have rebounded, leading recent polls ahead of figures like former Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny, with no indications of resignation, health issues, or snap polls. Traders' 81.5% "No" consensus reflects these structural barriers and lack of de-escalation signals, though a breakthrough ceasefire or scandal could shift dynamics before year-end.

Ukraine's ongoing martial law, extended by parliament until May 4, 2026, constitutionally bars presidential elections, solidifying President Zelenskyy's position amid the Russian invasion. Recent statements from the electoral commission on March 19 ruled out 2026 votes, deeming fair polls impossible until six months post-ceasefire, directly rebuffing U.S. President Trump's calls and affirming wartime legitimacy. Zelenskyy's approval ratings have rebounded, leading recent polls ahead of figures like former Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny, with no indications of resignation, health issues, or snap polls. Traders' 81.5% "No" consensus reflects these structural barriers and lack of de-escalation signals, though a breakthrough ceasefire or scandal could shift dynamics before year-end.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukraine's ongoing martial law, extended by parliament until May 4, 2026, constitutionally bars presidential elections, solidifying President Zelenskyy's position amid the Russian invasion. Recent statements from the electoral commission on March 19 ruled out 2026 votes, deeming fair polls impossible until six months post-ceasefire, directly rebuffing U.S. President Trump's calls and affirming wartime legitimacy. Zelenskyy's approval ratings have rebounded, leading recent polls ahead of figures like former Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny, with no indications of resignation, health issues, or snap polls. Traders' 81.5% "No" consensus reflects these structural barriers and lack of de-escalation signals, though a breakthrough ceasefire or scandal could shift dynamics before year-end.

Ukraine's ongoing martial law, extended by parliament until May 4, 2026, constitutionally bars presidential elections, solidifying President Zelenskyy's position amid the Russian invasion. Recent statements from the electoral commission on March 19 ruled out 2026 votes, deeming fair polls impossible until six months post-ceasefire, directly rebuffing U.S. President Trump's calls and affirming wartime legitimacy. Zelenskyy's approval ratings have rebounded, leading recent polls ahead of figures like former Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny, with no indications of resignation, health issues, or snap polls. Traders' 81.5% "No" consensus reflects these structural barriers and lack of de-escalation signals, though a breakthrough ceasefire or scandal could shift dynamics before year-end.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 19% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 19¢, the market collectively assigns a 19% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?" has generated $2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?" is 19% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 19% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.