Traders' near-unanimous consensus against Volodymyr Zelenskyy leaving office by March 31 stems from Ukraine's ongoing martial law, extended into 2026, which constitutionally bars presidential elections and ensures the incumbent remains until a vote post-ceasefire. Recent statements from the Central Election Commission, as of mid-March, affirm no fair election is feasible amid active combat, rebuffing external pressures like U.S. calls for polls. Zelenskyy has reiterated commitment to wartime leadership, with no resignation, impeachment, or snap vote announced. While improbable, a sudden health crisis, coup, or parliamentary removal could shift outcomes before resolution, though legal hurdles make this vanishingly unlikely absent major escalation.