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Politics·Ukraine

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Ukraine

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

7% chance
Polymarket

$128,903 Vol.

7% chance
Polymarket

$128,903 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Ukrainian President Zelenskyy remaining in office through June 30, 2026 (93% "No"), driven by the constitution's prohibition on presidential elections under martial law, which parliament extended most recently on November 15, 2024, through February 6, 2025, amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Zelenskyy has repeatedly affirmed no polls until victory, reinforced by approval ratings hovering above 60% in late 2024 surveys from KIIS and Razumkov Centre, outpacing rivals like Zaluzhnyi. No viable impeachment path exists without a supermajority, and recent diplomatic pushes—including EU accession talks and US aid negotiations—underscore leadership continuity. Potential shifts from frontline escalations, peace talks, or snap election pressures post-martial law remain low-probability catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$128,903
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Ukrainian President Zelenskyy remaining in office through June 30, 2026 (93% "No"), driven by the constitution's prohibition on presidential elections under martial law, which parliament extended most recently on November 15, 2024, through February 6, 2025, amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Zelenskyy has repeatedly affirmed no polls until victory, reinforced by approval ratings hovering above 60% in late 2024 surveys from KIIS and Razumkov Centre, outpacing rivals like Zaluzhnyi. No viable impeachment path exists without a supermajority, and recent diplomatic pushes—including EU accession talks and US aid negotiations—underscore leadership continuity. Potential shifts from frontline escalations, peace talks, or snap election pressures post-martial law remain low-probability catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$128,903
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 7% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 7¢, the market collectively assigns a 7% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?" has generated $128.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?" is 7% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 7% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.