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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$6m Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
2%
$981k Vol.
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
20%
$319k Vol.
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
13%
$255k Vol.
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
3%
$128k Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
7%
$290k Vol.
Who will acquire TikTok?
AppLovin
10%
Amazon
6%
$850k Vol.
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
8%
$337k Vol.
Will Trump visit China by...?
March 31, 2026
4%
April 30, 2026
80%
$882k Vol.
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
28%
$53k Vol.
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
5%
$7k Vol.
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
27%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
25%
$39k Vol.
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
$12k Vol.
Jimmy Lai released by January 31?
1%
$2k Vol.
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026?
11%
NEW
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
$862 Vol.
China coup attempt before 2027?
$6k Vol.
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