Middle East Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

World Events

World Events

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

February 3

<1%

February 4

1%

February 3

<1%

February 4

1%

$166m Vol.

Monthly
US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

February 1

<1%

February 2

<1%

February 1

<1%

February 2

<1%

$5m Vol.

Monthly
Next Country US Strikes card icon

Next Country US Strikes

Somalia

100%

Other

<1%

Somalia

100%

Other

<1%

$2m Vol.

Monthly
US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

February 15

16%

February 28

27%

February 15

16%

February 28

27%

$10m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

11%

chance

$4m Vol.

Monthly
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

February 3

1%

February 4

53%

February 3

1%

February 4

53%

$455k Vol.

Daily
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

21%

chance

$471k Vol.

Monthly
Will Israel strike Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

February 2

1%

February 3

2%

February 2

1%

February 3

2%

$385k Vol.

Daily
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

33%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...? card icon

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?

March 31

38%

June 30

56%

March 31

38%

June 30

56%

$100k Vol.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...? card icon

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

March 31, 2026

26%

June 30

44%

March 31, 2026

26%

June 30

44%

$2m Vol.

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? card icon

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

45%

chance

$78k Vol.

Monthly