**PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, with recent national polls placing it ahead of other opposition parties.** Multiple 2026 surveys from firms including Buendía & Márquez, Enkoll, Mitofsky, and Gobernarte show Morena holding a wide lead at 33–46% voting intention. Among non-Morena options, PAN registers the highest or near-highest support at 11–18%, ahead of PRI (8–13%), MC (9–12%), PVEM (3–5%), and PT (2–3%). This pattern has held through mid- and late-2026 polling, supporting the market’s 77.5% price on PAN. Key structural factors include PAN’s decision in October 2025 to contest the election independently, ending its prior alliance with PRI, while PRI continues pressing for a unified opposition front that MC has also rejected. PAN’s June 2026 rollout of a 100-point policy platform has reinforced its positioning as the primary opposition voice. No major polling shifts or new coalition agreements have altered this ordering in the past several months, leaving second-place dynamics stable on current evidence. Resolution will use official INE results from the June 6, 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 78%
PRI 16.4%
PVEM 6%
Morena 1.9%
$85,157 Vol.
$85,157 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
78%
PRI
16%
PT
<1%
PVEM
6%
MC
1%
Morena
2%
PAN 78%
PRI 16.4%
PVEM 6%
Morena 1.9%
$85,157 Vol.
$85,157 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
$38,479 Vol.
78%
PRI
$15,242 Vol.
16%
PT
$8,032 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$13,012 Vol.
6%
MC
$4,942 Vol.
1%
Morena
$5,450 Vol.
2%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).**PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, with recent national polls placing it ahead of other opposition parties.**
Multiple 2026 surveys from firms including Buendía & Márquez, Enkoll, Mitofsky, and Gobernarte show Morena holding a wide lead at 33–46% voting intention. Among non-Morena options, PAN registers the highest or near-highest support at 11–18%, ahead of PRI (8–13%), MC (9–12%), PVEM (3–5%), and PT (2–3%). This pattern has held through mid- and late-2026 polling, supporting the market’s 77.5% price on PAN.
Key structural factors include PAN’s decision in October 2025 to contest the election independently, ending its prior alliance with PRI, while PRI continues pressing for a unified opposition front that MC has also rejected. PAN’s June 2026 rollout of a 100-point policy platform has reinforced its positioning as the primary opposition voice. No major polling shifts or new coalition agreements have altered this ordering in the past several months, leaving second-place dynamics stable on current evidence. Resolution will use official INE results from the June 6, 2027 vote.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volume
$85,157End Date
Jun 7, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).**PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, with recent national polls placing it ahead of other opposition parties.**
Multiple 2026 surveys from firms including Buendía & Márquez, Enkoll, Mitofsky, and Gobernarte show Morena holding a wide lead at 33–46% voting intention. Among non-Morena options, PAN registers the highest or near-highest support at 11–18%, ahead of PRI (8–13%), MC (9–12%), PVEM (3–5%), and PT (2–3%). This pattern has held through mid- and late-2026 polling, supporting the market’s 77.5% price on PAN.
Key structural factors include PAN’s decision in October 2025 to contest the election independently, ending its prior alliance with PRI, while PRI continues pressing for a unified opposition front that MC has also rejected. PAN’s June 2026 rollout of a 100-point policy platform has reinforced its positioning as the primary opposition voice. No major polling shifts or new coalition agreements have altered this ordering in the past several months, leaving second-place dynamics stable on current evidence. Resolution will use official INE results from the June 6, 2027 vote.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$85,157End Date
Jun 7, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...**PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, with recent national polls placing it ahead of other opposition parties.** Multiple 2026 surveys from firms including Buendía & Márquez, Enkoll, Mitofsky, and Gobernarte show Morena holding a wide lead at 33–46% voting intention. Among non-Morena options, PAN registers the highest or near-highest support at 11–18%, ahead of PRI (8–13%), MC (9–12%), PVEM (3–5%), and PT (2–3%). This pattern has held through mid- and late-2026 polling, supporting the market’s 77.5% price on PAN. Key structural factors include PAN’s decision in October 2025 to contest the election independently, ending its prior alliance with PRI, while PRI continues pressing for a unified opposition front that MC has also rejected. PAN’s June 2026 rollout of a 100-point policy platform has reinforced its positioning as the primary opposition voice. No major polling shifts or new coalition agreements have altered this ordering in the past several months, leaving second-place dynamics stable on current evidence. Resolution will use official INE results from the June 6, 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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