**PAN leads trader pricing for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because recent national polls consistently place it ahead of other opposition parties.** Surveys from August and September 2026 show PAN at 11–18% support, ahead of PRI (8–13%), MC (9–12%), PVEM (3–5%), and PT (2–5%), while Morena remains far in front at 35–41%. The PAN’s independent candidacy decision after ending its prior alliance with the PRI, combined with its larger existing congressional presence and state-level structures, has reinforced this positioning among traders. Fragmented opposition competition and limited recent shifts in voter preference have kept PAN’s implied probability elevated at 77%, with PRI as the next most cited alternative at 17%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 77%
PRI 16.9%
PVEM 5%
Morena 2.5%
$85,236 Vol.
$85,236 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
77%
PRI
17%
PT
<1%
PVEM
5%
MC
2%
Morena
2%
PAN 77%
PRI 16.9%
PVEM 5%
Morena 2.5%
$85,236 Vol.
$85,236 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
$38,490 Vol.
77%
PRI
$15,242 Vol.
17%
PT
$8,032 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$13,019 Vol.
5%
MC
$4,973 Vol.
2%
Morena
$5,479 Vol.
2%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).**PAN leads trader pricing for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because recent national polls consistently place it ahead of other opposition parties.** Surveys from August and September 2026 show PAN at 11–18% support, ahead of PRI (8–13%), MC (9–12%), PVEM (3–5%), and PT (2–5%), while Morena remains far in front at 35–41%. The PAN’s independent candidacy decision after ending its prior alliance with the PRI, combined with its larger existing congressional presence and state-level structures, has reinforced this positioning among traders. Fragmented opposition competition and limited recent shifts in voter preference have kept PAN’s implied probability elevated at 77%, with PRI as the next most cited alternative at 17%.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volume
$85,236End Date
Jun 7, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).**PAN leads trader pricing for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because recent national polls consistently place it ahead of other opposition parties.** Surveys from August and September 2026 show PAN at 11–18% support, ahead of PRI (8–13%), MC (9–12%), PVEM (3–5%), and PT (2–5%), while Morena remains far in front at 35–41%. The PAN’s independent candidacy decision after ending its prior alliance with the PRI, combined with its larger existing congressional presence and state-level structures, has reinforced this positioning among traders. Fragmented opposition competition and limited recent shifts in voter preference have kept PAN’s implied probability elevated at 77%, with PRI as the next most cited alternative at 17%.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$85,236End Date
Jun 7, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...**PAN leads trader pricing for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because recent national polls consistently place it ahead of other opposition parties.** Surveys from August and September 2026 show PAN at 11–18% support, ahead of PRI (8–13%), MC (9–12%), PVEM (3–5%), and PT (2–5%), while Morena remains far in front at 35–41%. The PAN’s independent candidacy decision after ending its prior alliance with the PRI, combined with its larger existing congressional presence and state-level structures, has reinforced this positioning among traders. Fragmented opposition competition and limited recent shifts in voter preference have kept PAN’s implied probability elevated at 77%, with PRI as the next most cited alternative at 17%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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