**PAN leads trader consensus for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election at 78% implied probability, well ahead of PRI (16.8%), PVEM (5.5%), and others.** Recent national polls from August–September 2026, including those by Buendía & Márquez, Enkoll, Mitofsky, and LaEncuesta.MX, consistently place PAN ahead of other opposition parties in raw voting intention, typically in the 11–18% range behind Morena’s 33–41%. PAN’s decision to contest the election independently after ending its prior alliance with PRI, combined with stronger territorial structure and recurrent polling leads over PRI and MC, underpins the market positioning. The fragmented opposition and stable Morena advantage have produced little movement in these relative standings over the past several months, leaving PAN as the clearest second-place contender in trader assessments ahead of the formal campaign period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 78%
PRI 17.0%
PVEM 5%
Morena 1.4%
$85,004 Vol.
$85,004 Vol.
Jun 5, 2027
PAN
78%
PRI
17%
PT
<1%
PVEM
5%
MC
1%
Morena
1%
PAN 78%
PRI 17.0%
PVEM 5%
Morena 1.4%
$85,004 Vol.
$85,004 Vol.
Jun 5, 2027
PAN
$38,460 Vol.
78%
PRI
$15,223 Vol.
17%
PT
$8,013 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$12,988 Vol.
5%
MC
$4,923 Vol.
1%
Morena
$5,397 Vol.
1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).**PAN leads trader consensus for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election at 78% implied probability, well ahead of PRI (16.8%), PVEM (5.5%), and others.** Recent national polls from August–September 2026, including those by Buendía & Márquez, Enkoll, Mitofsky, and LaEncuesta.MX, consistently place PAN ahead of other opposition parties in raw voting intention, typically in the 11–18% range behind Morena’s 33–41%. PAN’s decision to contest the election independently after ending its prior alliance with PRI, combined with stronger territorial structure and recurrent polling leads over PRI and MC, underpins the market positioning. The fragmented opposition and stable Morena advantage have produced little movement in these relative standings over the past several months, leaving PAN as the clearest second-place contender in trader assessments ahead of the formal campaign period.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volume
$85,004End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).**PAN leads trader consensus for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election at 78% implied probability, well ahead of PRI (16.8%), PVEM (5.5%), and others.** Recent national polls from August–September 2026, including those by Buendía & Márquez, Enkoll, Mitofsky, and LaEncuesta.MX, consistently place PAN ahead of other opposition parties in raw voting intention, typically in the 11–18% range behind Morena’s 33–41%. PAN’s decision to contest the election independently after ending its prior alliance with PRI, combined with stronger territorial structure and recurrent polling leads over PRI and MC, underpins the market positioning. The fragmented opposition and stable Morena advantage have produced little movement in these relative standings over the past several months, leaving PAN as the clearest second-place contender in trader assessments ahead of the formal campaign period.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$85,004End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**PAN leads trader consensus for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election at 78% implied probability, well ahead of PRI (16.8%), PVEM (5.5%), and others.** Recent national polls from August–September 2026, including those by Buendía & Márquez, Enkoll, Mitofsky, and LaEncuesta.MX, consistently place PAN ahead of other opposition parties in raw voting intention, typically in the 11–18% range behind Morena’s 33–41%. PAN’s decision to contest the election independently after ending its prior alliance with PRI, combined with stronger territorial structure and recurrent polling leads over PRI and MC, underpins the market positioning. The fragmented opposition and stable Morena advantage have produced little movement in these relative standings over the past several months, leaving PAN as the clearest second-place contender in trader assessments ahead of the formal campaign period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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