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Andy Burnham 83%

Robert Kenyon 16%

रेबेका शेफर्ड 2.6%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$2,239,749 वॉल्यूम

Andy Burnham 83%

Robert Kenyon 16%

रेबेका शेफर्ड 2.6%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$2,239,749 वॉल्यूम

Andy Burnham

$228,405 वॉल्यूम

83%

Robert Kenyon

$173,801 वॉल्यूम

16%

रेबेका शेफर्ड

$1,809,664 वॉल्यूम

3%

Simon Finkelstein

$6,702 वॉल्यूम

<1%

Maria Deery

$6,509 वॉल्यूम

<1%

John Skipworth

$6,531 वॉल्यूम

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$8,147 वॉल्यूम

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham’s commanding position in the Makerfield by-election stems from his established profile as Greater Manchester mayor and Labour’s decision to clear the seat through Josh Simons’ mid-May resignation, enabling Burnham’s return to Parliament ahead of any leadership contest. The 18 June poll date compresses the campaign into a short window that favors the high-name-recognition Labour candidate in a seat Labour held at the last general election. Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon draws support as a local challenger in a constituency where the party performed strongly in 2024, yet traders price this as insufficient to overcome Burnham’s personal vote and party machinery. Minor candidates register negligible implied probabilities consistent with historical by-election patterns for independents and smaller parties.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
वॉल्यूम
$2,239,749
समाप्ति तिथि
18 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham’s commanding position in the Makerfield by-election stems from his established profile as Greater Manchester mayor and Labour’s decision to clear the seat through Josh Simons’ mid-May resignation, enabling Burnham’s return to Parliament ahead of any leadership contest. The 18 June poll date compresses the campaign into a short window that favors the high-name-recognition Labour candidate in a seat Labour held at the last general election. Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon draws support as a local challenger in a constituency where the party performed strongly in 2024, yet traders price this as insufficient to overcome Burnham’s personal vote and party machinery. Minor candidates register negligible implied probabilities consistent with historical by-election patterns for independents and smaller parties.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
वॉल्यूम
$2,239,749
समाप्ति तिथि
18 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"Makerfield by-election Winner" Polymarket पर 7 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, Andy Burnham 83% (83¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद Robert Kenyon 16% पर है।

आज तक, "Makerfield by-election Winner" ने कुल $2.2 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार May 14, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"Makerfield by-election Winner" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 7 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"Makerfield by-election Winner" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "Andy Burnham" 83% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "Robert Kenyon" 16% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"Makerfield by-election Winner" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।