Recent UK GDP data show Q2 2026 growth at 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, easing from 0.6% in Q1, with services driving most of the expansion while production stagnated. Trader consensus around 0.2–0.3% for Q3 reflects moderating monthly indicators through June, elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions pressuring real household incomes, and the Bank of England’s hold at 3.75% amid inflation rebounding toward 3.2% later in the year. Labor-market softening, with unemployment near 5% and subdued wage growth, further tempers expectations. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 monthly GDP release for July and the MPC decision on September 17, which will shape market-implied probabilities ahead of the first Q3 estimate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया0.2–0.3% 42%
0.4–0.5% 26%
0.0–0.1% 17%
0.6–0.7% 6.5%
$18,422 वॉल्यूम
$18,422 वॉल्यूम
11 नव, 2026
नकारात्मक
6%
0.0–0.1%
17%
0.2–0.3%
42%
0.4–0.5%
26%
0.6–0.7%
6%
0.8–0.9%
2%
1.0%+
3%
0.2–0.3% 42%
0.4–0.5% 26%
0.0–0.1% 17%
0.6–0.7% 6.5%
$18,422 वॉल्यूम
$18,422 वॉल्यूम
11 नव, 2026
नकारात्मक
$3,955 वॉल्यूम
6%
0.0–0.1%
$5,412 वॉल्यूम
17%
0.2–0.3%
$6,689 वॉल्यूम
42%
0.4–0.5%
$1,673 वॉल्यूम
26%
0.6–0.7%
$265 वॉल्यूम
6%
0.8–0.9%
$196 वॉल्यूम
2%
1.0%+
$232 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent UK GDP data show Q2 2026 growth at 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, easing from 0.6% in Q1, with services driving most of the expansion while production stagnated. Trader consensus around 0.2–0.3% for Q3 reflects moderating monthly indicators through June, elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions pressuring real household incomes, and the Bank of England’s hold at 3.75% amid inflation rebounding toward 3.2% later in the year. Labor-market softening, with unemployment near 5% and subdued wage growth, further tempers expectations. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 monthly GDP release for July and the MPC decision on September 17, which will shape market-implied probabilities ahead of the first Q3 estimate.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,422समाप्ति तिथि
12 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent UK GDP data show Q2 2026 growth at 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, easing from 0.6% in Q1, with services driving most of the expansion while production stagnated. Trader consensus around 0.2–0.3% for Q3 reflects moderating monthly indicators through June, elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions pressuring real household incomes, and the Bank of England’s hold at 3.75% amid inflation rebounding toward 3.2% later in the year. Labor-market softening, with unemployment near 5% and subdued wage growth, further tempers expectations. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 monthly GDP release for July and the MPC decision on September 17, which will shape market-implied probabilities ahead of the first Q3 estimate.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$18,422समाप्ति तिथि
12 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent UK GDP data show Q2 2026 growth at 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, easing from 0.6% in Q1, with services driving most of the expansion while production stagnated. Trader consensus around 0.2–0.3% for Q3 reflects moderating monthly indicators through June, elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions pressuring real household incomes, and the Bank of England’s hold at 3.75% amid inflation rebounding toward 3.2% later in the year. Labor-market softening, with unemployment near 5% and subdued wage growth, further tempers expectations. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 monthly GDP release for July and the MPC decision on September 17, which will shape market-implied probabilities ahead of the first Q3 estimate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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