Preliminary results from Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet (V) holding a clear lead over Kristdemokraterna (KD), with V projected at 8.2 percent of the vote and 29 seats against KD’s 6.2 percent and 22 seats after 94 percent of districts were counted. This margin, driven by gains for left-leaning parties within the centre-left bloc and losses for the right-wing Tidö parties, underpins the 100 percent trader consensus that V will finish ahead in total votes. Final tallies of overseas and late postal ballots, expected by mid-week, would require an unprecedented swing to reverse the outcome. Such a reversal remains possible in principle but faces steep numerical barriers given the current gap of roughly 128,000 votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedV
>99% chance
$6,441 Vol.
$6,441 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
V
>99% chance
$6,441 Vol.
$6,441 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Preliminary results from Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet (V) holding a clear lead over Kristdemokraterna (KD), with V projected at 8.2 percent of the vote and 29 seats against KD’s 6.2 percent and 22 seats after 94 percent of districts were counted. This margin, driven by gains for left-leaning parties within the centre-left bloc and losses for the right-wing Tidö parties, underpins the 100 percent trader consensus that V will finish ahead in total votes. Final tallies of overseas and late postal ballots, expected by mid-week, would require an unprecedented swing to reverse the outcome. Such a reversal remains possible in principle but faces steep numerical barriers given the current gap of roughly 128,000 votes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ET
Volume
$6,441End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Preliminary results from Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet (V) holding a clear lead over Kristdemokraterna (KD), with V projected at 8.2 percent of the vote and 29 seats against KD’s 6.2 percent and 22 seats after 94 percent of districts were counted. This margin, driven by gains for left-leaning parties within the centre-left bloc and losses for the right-wing Tidö parties, underpins the 100 percent trader consensus that V will finish ahead in total votes. Final tallies of overseas and late postal ballots, expected by mid-week, would require an unprecedented swing to reverse the outcome. Such a reversal remains possible in principle but faces steep numerical barriers given the current gap of roughly 128,000 votes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$6,441End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Preliminary results from Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet (V) holding a clear lead over Kristdemokraterna (KD), with V projected at 8.2 percent of the vote and 29 seats against KD’s 6.2 percent and 22 seats after 94 percent of districts were counted. This margin, driven by gains for left-leaning parties within the centre-left bloc and losses for the right-wing Tidö parties, underpins the 100 percent trader consensus that V will finish ahead in total votes. Final tallies of overseas and late postal ballots, expected by mid-week, would require an unprecedented swing to reverse the outcome. Such a reversal remains possible in principle but faces steep numerical barriers given the current gap of roughly 128,000 votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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