Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a commanding position in the November 28 Keelung mayoral race, reflecting traders' assessment of his structural advantages in a traditionally blue-leaning city. He survived a 2024 recall effort and secured his party's nomination for re-election, while recent actions such as activating disaster relief funds after September flooding underscore ongoing administrative visibility. DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei, the city council speaker with strong local roots and family political ties, has narrowed gaps in August polling to within a few points overall and nearly tied among likely voters, yet faces the headwinds of opposition status and lower baseline support. A single independent candidate rounds out the field, but the contest remains defined by the KMT-DPP matchup and the incumbent's edge in turnout and party infrastructure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
86%
Tung Tzu-wei
11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
$1,127 Vol.
86%
Tung Tzu-wei
$656 Vol.
11%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a commanding position in the November 28 Keelung mayoral race, reflecting traders' assessment of his structural advantages in a traditionally blue-leaning city. He survived a 2024 recall effort and secured his party's nomination for re-election, while recent actions such as activating disaster relief funds after September flooding underscore ongoing administrative visibility. DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei, the city council speaker with strong local roots and family political ties, has narrowed gaps in August polling to within a few points overall and nearly tied among likely voters, yet faces the headwinds of opposition status and lower baseline support. A single independent candidate rounds out the field, but the contest remains defined by the KMT-DPP matchup and the incumbent's edge in turnout and party infrastructure.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Volume
$1,783End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a commanding position in the November 28 Keelung mayoral race, reflecting traders' assessment of his structural advantages in a traditionally blue-leaning city. He survived a 2024 recall effort and secured his party's nomination for re-election, while recent actions such as activating disaster relief funds after September flooding underscore ongoing administrative visibility. DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei, the city council speaker with strong local roots and family political ties, has narrowed gaps in August polling to within a few points overall and nearly tied among likely voters, yet faces the headwinds of opposition status and lower baseline support. A single independent candidate rounds out the field, but the contest remains defined by the KMT-DPP matchup and the incumbent's edge in turnout and party infrastructure.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,783End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a commanding position in the November 28 Keelung mayoral race, reflecting traders' assessment of his structural advantages in a traditionally blue-leaning city. He survived a 2024 recall effort and secured his party's nomination for re-election, while recent actions such as activating disaster relief funds after September flooding underscore ongoing administrative visibility. DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei, the city council speaker with strong local roots and family political ties, has narrowed gaps in August polling to within a few points overall and nearly tied among likely voters, yet faces the headwinds of opposition status and lower baseline support. A single independent candidate rounds out the field, but the contest remains defined by the KMT-DPP matchup and the incumbent's edge in turnout and party infrastructure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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