Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 160-179 posts from the official @WhiteHouse X account between March 20 12:00 PM ET and March 27 12:00 PM ET, as the counting period concluded yesterday with public verification confirming the exact tally falls squarely in this range. This dominant position stems from the transparency of X's public timeline, enabling traders to track and independently audit posts in real time amid steady White House social media activity driven by recent announcements like the National AI Legislative Framework on March 20 and press briefing by Karoline Leavitt on March 25. Cryptic posts, including a deleted video and pixelated image around March 25, added minor volume without controversy. Highly improbable challenges would require X retroactively altering or deleting verified posts, or a Polymarket resolution dispute over countable content like originals versus retweets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhite House # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
White House # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
160-179 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$65,472 Vol.
$65,472 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
Yes
180-199
No
200+
No
160-179 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$65,472 Vol.
$65,472 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
Yes
180-199
No
200+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 160-179 posts from the official @WhiteHouse X account between March 20 12:00 PM ET and March 27 12:00 PM ET, as the counting period concluded yesterday with public verification confirming the exact tally falls squarely in this range. This dominant position stems from the transparency of X's public timeline, enabling traders to track and independently audit posts in real time amid steady White House social media activity driven by recent announcements like the National AI Legislative Framework on March 20 and press briefing by Karoline Leavitt on March 25. Cryptic posts, including a deleted video and pixelated image around March 25, added minor volume without controversy. Highly improbable challenges would require X retroactively altering or deleting verified posts, or a Polymarket resolution dispute over countable content like originals versus retweets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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