Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to U.S. Senator Ted Cruz posting 120-139 times on X from March 20-27, 2026, based on his consistent historical posting rate of roughly 17-20 per day during standard legislative weeks. This pattern stems from his frequent commentary on key issues like border security, energy independence, and Texas priorities, with no notable shifts in activity over the past 30 days amid routine Senate sessions and committee work. Absent recent catalysts such as health setbacks, account suspensions, or campaign surges—none evident currently—this range aligns with data-driven trader assessments of his social media habits. Potential challengers include a national crisis prompting a post spike, technical disruptions limiting output, or personal events curtailing activity, though these face significant barriers given his track record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTed Cruz # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
Ted Cruz # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
120-139 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$44,395 Vol.
$44,395 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
Yes
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
No
120-139 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$44,395 Vol.
$44,395 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
Yes
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to U.S. Senator Ted Cruz posting 120-139 times on X from March 20-27, 2026, based on his consistent historical posting rate of roughly 17-20 per day during standard legislative weeks. This pattern stems from his frequent commentary on key issues like border security, energy independence, and Texas priorities, with no notable shifts in activity over the past 30 days amid routine Senate sessions and committee work. Absent recent catalysts such as health setbacks, account suspensions, or campaign surges—none evident currently—this range aligns with data-driven trader assessments of his social media habits. Potential challengers include a national crisis prompting a post spike, technical disruptions limiting output, or personal events curtailing activity, though these face significant barriers given his track record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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