Skip to main content
icon for 2026 NCAA Tournament Winner
Sports·NCAA

2026 NCAA Tournament Winner

icon for 2026 NCAA Tournament Winner
Sports·NCAA

2026 NCAA Tournament Winner

Michigan 100.0%

Florida <1%

Alabama <1%

Michigan State <1%

Polymarket

$27,378,308 Vol.

Michigan 100.0%

Florida <1%

Alabama <1%

Michigan State <1%

Polymarket

$27,378,308 Vol.

Florida

$0 Vol.

No

Michigan

$2,354,609 Vol.

Yes

Alabama

$946,975 Vol.

No

Michigan State

$925,261 Vol.

No

Kentucky

$0 Vol.

No

BYU

$0 Vol.

No

Arizona

$2,091,516 Vol.

No

NC State

$191,457 Vol.

No

Connecticut

$4,218,808 Vol.

No

Kansas

$0 Vol.

No

Iowa State

$2,575,012 Vol.

No

Creighton

$0 Vol.

No

Virginia

$0 Vol.

No

Saint Louis

$0 Vol.

No

Clemson

$0 Vol.

No

TCU

$0 Vol.

No

Villanova

$0 Vol.

No

Miami (FL)

$0 Vol.

No

Santa Clara

$0 Vol.

No

UCF

$0 Vol.

No

South Florida

$0 Vol.

No

Miami (OH)

$0 Vol.

No

SMU

$0 Vol.

No

Norhtern Iowa

$0 Vol.

No

North Dakota State

$0 Vol.

No

LIU

$0 Vol.

No

High Point

$0 Vol.

No

Kennesaw State

$0 Vol.

No

Prairie View A&M

$0 Vol.

No

Troy

$0 Vol.

No

Idaho

$0 Vol.

No

UMBC

$0 Vol.

No

Hofstra

$0 Vol.

No

Akron

$0 Vol.

No

McNeese

$0 Vol.

No

Purdue

$3,394,009 Vol.

No

Louisville

$0 Vol.

No

UCLA

$0 Vol.

No

Gonzaga

$0 Vol.

No

Houston

$787,628 Vol.

No

Texas Tech

$0 Vol.

No

Arkansas

$890,026 Vol.

No

North Carolina

$0 Vol.

No

Duke

$1,059,051 Vol.

No

Illinois

$1,998,991 Vol.

No

Tennessee

$1,184,614 Vol.

No

Auburn

$0 Vol.

No

Nebraska

$827,190 Vol.

No

St John's

$867,493 Vol.

No

Vanderbilt

$0 Vol.

No

Ohio State

$0 Vol.

No

St. Mary's

$0 Vol.

No

Wisconsin

$0 Vol.

No

Missouri

$458,322 Vol.

No

Iowa

$998,161 Vol.

No

VCU

$0 Vol.

No

Texas A&M

$0 Vol.

No

Texas

$761,698 Vol.

No

Siena

$657,004 Vol.

No

Cal Baptist

$0 Vol.

No

Furman

$0 Vol.

No

Utah State

$0 Vol.

No

Hawaii

$0 Vol.

No

Queens

$0 Vol.

No

Lehigh

$0 Vol.

No

Penn

$0 Vol.

No

Tennessee State

$0 Vol.

No

Howard

$0 Vol.

No

Wright State

$0 Vol.

No

Georgia

$190,481 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Michigan Wolverines secured the 2026 NCAA men's basketball national championship with a 69-63 victory over UConn Huskies in the title game on April 6 at Lucas Oil Stadium, ending a 37-year drought since their 1989 triumph. Their dominant March Madness run featured a 91-73 Final Four rout of No. 1 Arizona, showcasing elite defense, balanced scoring, and coach Dusty May's tactical edge through five games averaging over 90 points scored. Traders' 100% consensus on Michigan reflects this conclusive outcome, with UConn's 0.1% residual pricing negligible post-resolution; no realistic challenges remain absent extraordinary disputes over eligibility or officiating, which official NCAA verification has affirmed.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$27,378,308
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Michigan Wolverines secured the 2026 NCAA men's basketball national championship with a 69-63 victory over UConn Huskies in the title game on April 6 at Lucas Oil Stadium, ending a 37-year drought since their 1989 triumph. Their dominant March Madness run featured a 91-73 Final Four rout of No. 1 Arizona, showcasing elite defense, balanced scoring, and coach Dusty May's tactical edge through five games averaging over 90 points scored. Traders' 100% consensus on Michigan reflects this conclusive outcome, with UConn's 0.1% residual pricing negligible post-resolution; no realistic challenges remain absent extraordinary disputes over eligibility or officiating, which official NCAA verification has affirmed.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$27,378,308
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

icon for Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?

Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?

30%
icon for Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

17%
icon for Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

28%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michigan" at 100%, followed by "Florida" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" has generated $27.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" is "Michigan" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Florida" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.