Market icon

2026 NCAA Tournament Winner

Michigan 19%

Duke 15%

Arizona 12.1%

Houston 9%

Polymarket

$678,787 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$678,787
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Created At
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michigan" at 19%, followed by "Duke" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" has generated $678.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" is "Michigan" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Duke" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

2026 NCAA Tournament Winner

Michigan 19%

Duke 15%

Arizona 12.1%

Houston 9%

Polymarket

$678,787 Vol.

Michigan

$82,646 Vol.

19%

Duke

$21,142 Vol.

15%

Arizona

$23,849 Vol.

12%

Houston

$20,601 Vol.

9%

Florida

$50,532 Vol.

8%

Illinois

$26,299 Vol.

6%

Connecticut

$78,782 Vol.

5%

Iowa State

$15,721 Vol.

5%

Purdue

$36,899 Vol.

5%

Kansas

$24,710 Vol.

4%

Gonzaga

$22,235 Vol.

3%

Michigan State

$54,683 Vol.

2%

Nebraska

$8,849 Vol.

1%

St John's

$10,428 Vol.

1%

Texas Tech

$20,580 Vol.

1%

North Carolina

$17,863 Vol.

1%

NC State

$11,283 Vol.

1%

Alabama

$18,036 Vol.

1%

BYU

$14,675 Vol.

1%

Arkansas

$11,731 Vol.

1%

Saint Louis

$7,120 Vol.

1%

Virginia

$7,703 Vol.

1%

Louisville

$13,224 Vol.

1%

Vanderbilt

$8,327 Vol.

1%

Tennessee

$12,067 Vol.

1%

Kentucky

$15,457 Vol.

1%

Auburn

$12,517 Vol.

1%

Clemson

$8,189 Vol.

<1%

UCLA

$13,617 Vol.

<1%

Creighton

$9,167 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michigan" at 19%, followed by "Duke" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" has generated $678.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" is "Michigan" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Duke" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.