Market icon

2026 NCAA Tournament Winner

Michigan 18%

Duke 13%

Arizona 12.0%

Houston 9%

Polymarket

$671,547 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$671,547
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Created At
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michigan" at 18%, followed by "Duke" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" has generated $671.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" is "Michigan" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Duke" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

2026 NCAA Tournament Winner

Michigan 18%

Duke 13%

Arizona 12.0%

Houston 9%

Polymarket

$671,547 Vol.

Michigan

$82,551 Vol.

18%

Duke

$20,990 Vol.

13%

Arizona

$23,711 Vol.

12%

Houston

$20,531 Vol.

9%

Florida

$49,968 Vol.

8%

Illinois

$26,070 Vol.

5%

Iowa State

$15,482 Vol.

5%

Purdue

$36,387 Vol.

4%

Connecticut

$76,346 Vol.

4%

Kansas

$24,433 Vol.

3%

Michigan State

$54,589 Vol.

2%

Gonzaga

$21,888 Vol.

2%

St John's

$10,159 Vol.

2%

Texas Tech

$20,511 Vol.

1%

Nebraska

$8,628 Vol.

1%

North Carolina

$17,793 Vol.

1%

Alabama

$17,813 Vol.

1%

NC State

$11,007 Vol.

1%

Arkansas

$11,657 Vol.

1%

BYU

$14,509 Vol.

1%

Saint Louis

$6,978 Vol.

1%

Virginia

$7,633 Vol.

1%

Louisville

$13,154 Vol.

1%

Vanderbilt

$8,193 Vol.

1%

Tennessee

$11,997 Vol.

1%

Kentucky

$15,388 Vol.

1%

Auburn

$12,417 Vol.

1%

Clemson

$8,120 Vol.

<1%

UCLA

$13,547 Vol.

<1%

Creighton

$9,098 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michigan" at 18%, followed by "Duke" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" has generated $671.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" is "Michigan" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Duke" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NCAA Tournament Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.