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Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 19%

Los Angeles FC 16%

San Diego FC 9.8%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 8.0%

Polymarket

$11,486,948 Vol.

Inter Miami CF 19%

Los Angeles FC 16%

San Diego FC 9.8%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 8.0%

Polymarket

$11,486,948 Vol.

Inter Miami CF

$7,925 Vol.

19%

Los Angeles FC

$12,274 Vol.

16%

San Diego FC

$1,188,928 Vol.

10%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$345,293 Vol.

8%

Nashville SC

$183,390 Vol.

5%

Seattle Sounders FC

$640,187 Vol.

4%

New York City FC

$407,868 Vol.

4%

FC Cincinnati

$379,600 Vol.

3%

Columbus Crew

$2,847,183 Vol.

2%

Real Salt Lake

$2,426,738 Vol.

2%

New York Red Bulls

$53,551 Vol.

2%

Orlando City SC

$1,753,724 Vol.

2%

LA Galaxy

$3,676 Vol.

2%

Minnesota United FC

$72,576 Vol.

2%

Toronto FC

$12,417 Vol.

2%

Philadelphia Union

$49,811 Vol.

1%

Charlotte FC

$246,834 Vol.

1%

San Jose Earthquakes

$417,271 Vol.

1%

Atlanta United FC

$32,755 Vol.

1%

Houston Dynamo FC

$46,714 Vol.

1%

Austin FC

$47,064 Vol.

1%

Chicago Fire FC

$66,651 Vol.

1%

Portland Timbers

$55,783 Vol.

1%

FC Dallas

$31,725 Vol.

1%

Colorado Rapids

$92,573 Vol.

<1%

St. Louis City SC

$57,592 Vol.

<1%

New England Revolution

$1,402 Vol.

<1%

D.C. United

$1,161 Vol.

<1%

CF Montréal

$1,222 Vol.

<1%

Sporting Kansas City

$3,059 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early-season form through five matchdays has kept the MLS Cup 2026 race tightly contested among top trader favorites, with Inter Miami CF's 18.5% implied probability buoyed by Lionel Messi's influence and status as defending champions despite a third-place Eastern Conference standing three points off the pace. LAFC's 16.0% reflects their unbeaten run and league-best defense, conceding zero goals amid a historic start. Expansion side San Diego FC at 9.8% surges on explosive home wins totaling 9-1, while Vancouver Whitecaps' 8.0% stems from leading power rankings with 14 goals scored. Nashville SC's rise to Eastern leaders underscores widespread parity, high-scoring trends, and a grueling schedule ahead favoring the wisdom of crowds in this fluid Supporters' Shield chase.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,486,948
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early-season form through five matchdays has kept the MLS Cup 2026 race tightly contested among top trader favorites, with Inter Miami CF's 18.5% implied probability buoyed by Lionel Messi's influence and status as defending champions despite a third-place Eastern Conference standing three points off the pace. LAFC's 16.0% reflects their unbeaten run and league-best defense, conceding zero goals amid a historic start. Expansion side San Diego FC at 9.8% surges on explosive home wins totaling 9-1, while Vancouver Whitecaps' 8.0% stems from leading power rankings with 14 goals scored. Nashville SC's rise to Eastern leaders underscores widespread parity, high-scoring trends, and a grueling schedule ahead favoring the wisdom of crowds in this fluid Supporters' Shield chase.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,486,948
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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38%
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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS Cup Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inter Miami CF" at 19%, followed by "Los Angeles FC" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS Cup Winner 2026" has generated $11.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS Cup Winner 2026," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" is "Inter Miami CF" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Los Angeles FC" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.