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Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

icon for MLS Cup Winner 2026
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 18%

Los Angeles FC 12%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 10.1%

Nashville SC 5.3%

Polymarket

$16,619,009 Vol.

Inter Miami CF 18%

Los Angeles FC 12%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 10.1%

Nashville SC 5.3%

Polymarket

$16,619,009 Vol.

Inter Miami CF

$20,650 Vol.

18%

Los Angeles FC

$21,088 Vol.

12%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$361,421 Vol.

10%

Nashville SC

$277,939 Vol.

5%

San Diego FC

$1,200,819 Vol.

5%

San Jose Earthquakes

$1,059,937 Vol.

5%

Seattle Sounders FC

$792,067 Vol.

4%

FC Cincinnati

$1,533,637 Vol.

4%

New York City FC

$555,299 Vol.

4%

Houston Dynamo FC

$322,419 Vol.

2%

Columbus Crew

$3,048,201 Vol.

2%

LA Galaxy

$13,146 Vol.

2%

Chicago Fire FC

$91,760 Vol.

2%

Toronto FC

$25,676 Vol.

2%

Charlotte FC

$1,663,866 Vol.

2%

Orlando City SC

$2,041,344 Vol.

2%

Minnesota United FC

$174,194 Vol.

2%

New York Red Bulls

$260,546 Vol.

1%

Real Salt Lake

$2,580,603 Vol.

1%

Philadelphia Union

$108,176 Vol.

1%

Atlanta United FC

$66,107 Vol.

1%

Austin FC

$65,949 Vol.

1%

FC Dallas

$56,480 Vol.

1%

New England Revolution

$21,126 Vol.

1%

Colorado Rapids

$97,574 Vol.

1%

Portland Timbers

$64,174 Vol.

1%

D.C. United

$3,977 Vol.

<1%

CF Montréal

$6,833 Vol.

<1%

Sporting Kansas City

$17,262 Vol.

<1%

St. Louis City SC

$66,825 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defending MLS Cup champions Inter Miami CF lead trader consensus at 17.5% implied probability for the 2026 title, buoyed by Lionel Messi's enduring impact, Germán Berterame's recent scoring surge, and proven playoff pedigree despite sitting third in the Eastern Conference with 19 points from 11 matches. The race remains tightly bunched with LAFC (11.5%) third in the West on 21 points and Vancouver Whitecaps (10.1%) dominating early with an 8-1-1 record and +20 goal differential, reflecting San Jose Earthquakes' historic 9-1-1 start and Nashville SC's Eastern lead at 23 points. Early-season parity across conferences, with 30+ matches left before playoffs, underscores widespread competitiveness and vulnerability to form shifts, injuries, and schedule strength.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,619,009
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defending MLS Cup champions Inter Miami CF lead trader consensus at 17.5% implied probability for the 2026 title, buoyed by Lionel Messi's enduring impact, Germán Berterame's recent scoring surge, and proven playoff pedigree despite sitting third in the Eastern Conference with 19 points from 11 matches. The race remains tightly bunched with LAFC (11.5%) third in the West on 21 points and Vancouver Whitecaps (10.1%) dominating early with an 8-1-1 record and +20 goal differential, reflecting San Jose Earthquakes' historic 9-1-1 start and Nashville SC's Eastern lead at 23 points. Early-season parity across conferences, with 30+ matches left before playoffs, underscores widespread competitiveness and vulnerability to form shifts, injuries, and schedule strength.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,619,009
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS Cup Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inter Miami CF" at 18%, followed by "Los Angeles FC" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS Cup Winner 2026" has generated $16.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS Cup Winner 2026," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" is "Inter Miami CF" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Los Angeles FC" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.