Kimi Antonelli holds the top position in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship market at 39.5% implied probability after claiming victory in the last three grands prix and opening a 20-point lead over Mercedes teammate George Russell. The Italian's strong qualifying pace, race starts, and consistency with the updated 2026 regulations have shifted momentum away from Russell, who entered the season as the pre-season favorite but now trails in second at 30.5%. Lando Norris sits third at 11.3% amid McLaren's competitive form, while Max Verstappen's 5.5% reflects Red Bull's early-season challenges. Recent results at events like the Canadian Grand Prix weekend underscore how Antonelli's momentum and Mercedes' current edge are shaping trader consensus on the title fight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 39.5%
George Russell 31%
Lando Norris 11.3%
Max Verstappen 5.5%
$152,015,751 Vol.
$152,015,751 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
39%
George Russell
31%
Lando Norris
11%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Charles Leclerc
4%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 39.5%
George Russell 31%
Lando Norris 11.3%
Max Verstappen 5.5%
$152,015,751 Vol.
$152,015,751 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
39%
George Russell
31%
Lando Norris
11%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Charles Leclerc
4%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli holds the top position in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship market at 39.5% implied probability after claiming victory in the last three grands prix and opening a 20-point lead over Mercedes teammate George Russell. The Italian's strong qualifying pace, race starts, and consistency with the updated 2026 regulations have shifted momentum away from Russell, who entered the season as the pre-season favorite but now trails in second at 30.5%. Lando Norris sits third at 11.3% amid McLaren's competitive form, while Max Verstappen's 5.5% reflects Red Bull's early-season challenges. Recent results at events like the Canadian Grand Prix weekend underscore how Antonelli's momentum and Mercedes' current edge are shaping trader consensus on the title fight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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