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F1 Drivers' Champion

icon for F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 39.4%

George Russell 31%

Lando Norris 11.3%

Max Verstappen 5.3%

Polymarket

$151,898,834 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 39.4%

George Russell 31%

Lando Norris 11.3%

Max Verstappen 5.3%

Polymarket

$151,898,834 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$3,060,455 Vol.

39%

George Russell

$1,775,302 Vol.

31%

Lando Norris

$2,183,251 Vol.

11%

Max Verstappen

$2,033,189 Vol.

5%

Oscar Piastri

$1,813,505 Vol.

5%

Charles Leclerc

$2,908,341 Vol.

4%

Lewis Hamilton

$3,853,565 Vol.

2%

Fernando Alonso

$7,155,289 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$7,706,889 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$6,647,489 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$9,133,388 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$10,323,545 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$9,965,905 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$10,415,372 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$9,357,219 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$10,165,698 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$8,841,664 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$8,799,352 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$6,993,910 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$8,936,417 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$9,796,062 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$10,033,707 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings with a 20-point cushion over teammate George Russell after multiple early-season races, reflecting Mercedes' strong adaptation to the new regulations and his own consistent podium results including several pole-to-win conversions. This performance has solidified trader consensus around the 19-year-old's title prospects in his sophomore campaign. Russell remains a close second with solid points hauls and experience advantages in high-pressure situations. Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri trail further back amid McLaren's more mixed results, while Max Verstappen and Charles Leclerc face steeper challenges from Red Bull and Ferrari's relative pace deficits. Recent form and Mercedes' constructors' edge continue shaping these implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$151,898,834
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings with a 20-point cushion over teammate George Russell after multiple early-season races, reflecting Mercedes' strong adaptation to the new regulations and his own consistent podium results including several pole-to-win conversions. This performance has solidified trader consensus around the 19-year-old's title prospects in his sophomore campaign. Russell remains a close second with solid points hauls and experience advantages in high-pressure situations. Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri trail further back amid McLaren's more mixed results, while Max Verstappen and Charles Leclerc face steeper challenges from Red Bull and Ferrari's relative pace deficits. Recent form and Mercedes' constructors' edge continue shaping these implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$151,898,834
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 39%, followed by "George Russell" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $151.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.