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F1 Drivers' Champion

icon for F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 39.5%

George Russell 31%

Lando Norris 11.3%

Max Verstappen 5.5%

Polymarket

$152,015,751 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 39.5%

George Russell 31%

Lando Norris 11.3%

Max Verstappen 5.5%

Polymarket

$152,015,751 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$3,060,619 Vol.

39%

George Russell

$1,776,048 Vol.

31%

Lando Norris

$2,183,393 Vol.

11%

Max Verstappen

$2,035,041 Vol.

6%

Oscar Piastri

$1,819,223 Vol.

5%

Charles Leclerc

$2,910,361 Vol.

4%

Lewis Hamilton

$3,855,860 Vol.

2%

Fernando Alonso

$7,159,475 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$7,713,101 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$6,652,062 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$9,138,400 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$10,327,215 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$9,972,586 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$10,419,317 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$9,361,158 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$10,182,010 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$8,848,196 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$8,804,707 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$7,001,520 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$8,949,133 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$9,803,290 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$10,046,356 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli holds the top position in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship market at 39.5% implied probability after claiming victory in the last three grands prix and opening a 20-point lead over Mercedes teammate George Russell. The Italian's strong qualifying pace, race starts, and consistency with the updated 2026 regulations have shifted momentum away from Russell, who entered the season as the pre-season favorite but now trails in second at 30.5%. Lando Norris sits third at 11.3% amid McLaren's competitive form, while Max Verstappen's 5.5% reflects Red Bull's early-season challenges. Recent results at events like the Canadian Grand Prix weekend underscore how Antonelli's momentum and Mercedes' current edge are shaping trader consensus on the title fight.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$152,015,751
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli holds the top position in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship market at 39.5% implied probability after claiming victory in the last three grands prix and opening a 20-point lead over Mercedes teammate George Russell. The Italian's strong qualifying pace, race starts, and consistency with the updated 2026 regulations have shifted momentum away from Russell, who entered the season as the pre-season favorite but now trails in second at 30.5%. Lando Norris sits third at 11.3% amid McLaren's competitive form, while Max Verstappen's 5.5% reflects Red Bull's early-season challenges. Recent results at events like the Canadian Grand Prix weekend underscore how Antonelli's momentum and Mercedes' current edge are shaping trader consensus on the title fight.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$152,015,751
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 39%, followed by "George Russell" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $152 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.