George Russell leads trader consensus at 56.5% implied probability for the F1 Drivers' Championship, driven by Mercedes' late-2024 resurgence with the W15 chassis delivering pole positions and victories at tracks like Spa and Monza, where Russell's error-free drives maximized points. Kimi Antonelli's 18% stake highlights excitement over his F2 dominance and seamless promotion to Mercedes alongside Russell, following official confirmation of the 18-year-old Italian's raw pace in FP1 sessions. Declining odds for Max Verstappen (5.5%) and Charles Leclerc (6.5%) reflect Red Bull's design challenges post-Newey and Ferrari's inconsistent qualifying, amplified by Lewis Hamilton's Ferrari switch. Recent upgrades and winter testing loom as pivotal, underscoring F1's unpredictable upgrades and reliability swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedGeorge Russell 56%
Kimi Antonelli 18.1%
Charles Leclerc 6.5%
Lewis Hamilton 6.0%
$39,989,111 Vol.
$39,989,111 Vol.
George Russell
56%
Kimi Antonelli
18%
Charles Leclerc
7%
Lewis Hamilton
6%
Max Verstappen
6%
Lando Norris
2%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
George Russell 56%
Kimi Antonelli 18.1%
Charles Leclerc 6.5%
Lewis Hamilton 6.0%
$39,989,111 Vol.
$39,989,111 Vol.
George Russell
56%
Kimi Antonelli
18%
Charles Leclerc
7%
Lewis Hamilton
6%
Max Verstappen
6%
Lando Norris
2%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...George Russell leads trader consensus at 56.5% implied probability for the F1 Drivers' Championship, driven by Mercedes' late-2024 resurgence with the W15 chassis delivering pole positions and victories at tracks like Spa and Monza, where Russell's error-free drives maximized points. Kimi Antonelli's 18% stake highlights excitement over his F2 dominance and seamless promotion to Mercedes alongside Russell, following official confirmation of the 18-year-old Italian's raw pace in FP1 sessions. Declining odds for Max Verstappen (5.5%) and Charles Leclerc (6.5%) reflect Red Bull's design challenges post-Newey and Ferrari's inconsistent qualifying, amplified by Lewis Hamilton's Ferrari switch. Recent upgrades and winter testing loom as pivotal, underscoring F1's unpredictable upgrades and reliability swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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