Carlos Alcaraz holds a slim edge as the world No. 1 and two-time defending French Open champion with an elite clay-court record, including high win percentages at Roland Garros and Masters 1000 events like Monte Carlo and Madrid, yet Jannik Sinner's trader consensus has tightened to 32.5% implied probability following his Indian Wells title and Miami semifinals run over Alexander Zverev. Recent Sunshine Double momentum—Sinner undefeated in sets at Indian Wells before battling past Zverev—has narrowed the gap despite Alcaraz's early Miami exit to Sebastian Korda, as clay season kicks off March 30 with Monte Carlo. Novak Djokovic's shoulder injury forcing a Miami withdrawal caps his chances, underscoring the duo's dominance heading into the surface where Alcaraz thrives but Sinner aims to conquer.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourCarlos Alcaraz 40%
Jannik Sinner 33%
Alexander Zverev 3.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.3%
$1,486,296 Vol.
$1,486,296 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
40%
Jannik Sinner
33%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Novak Djokovic
3%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Casper Ruud
2%
Arthur Fils
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Sebastian Korda
1%
Alex De Minaur
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Tien Learner
1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 40%
Jannik Sinner 33%
Alexander Zverev 3.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.3%
$1,486,296 Vol.
$1,486,296 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
40%
Jannik Sinner
33%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Novak Djokovic
3%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Casper Ruud
2%
Arthur Fils
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Sebastian Korda
1%
Alex De Minaur
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Tien Learner
1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz holds a slim edge as the world No. 1 and two-time defending French Open champion with an elite clay-court record, including high win percentages at Roland Garros and Masters 1000 events like Monte Carlo and Madrid, yet Jannik Sinner's trader consensus has tightened to 32.5% implied probability following his Indian Wells title and Miami semifinals run over Alexander Zverev. Recent Sunshine Double momentum—Sinner undefeated in sets at Indian Wells before battling past Zverev—has narrowed the gap despite Alcaraz's early Miami exit to Sebastian Korda, as clay season kicks off March 30 with Monte Carlo. Novak Djokovic's shoulder injury forcing a Miami withdrawal caps his chances, underscoring the duo's dominance heading into the surface where Alcaraz thrives but Sinner aims to conquer.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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