Spain's Euro 2024 triumph, powered by Lamine Yamal's breakout and Rodri's midfield dominance, propels them to 15.3% trader consensus as slight favorites for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but razor-thin gaps to England (13.1%), Argentina (10.9%), and France (10.4%) underscore fierce global parity. England's final run with Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane keeps them close, while Lionel Messi's Copa America heroics buoy Argentina despite his advancing age. Brazil lags at 8.6% post-disappointing Copa exit, as youth surges in Spain and Norway (3.2%, Haaland-led) mix with veterans in Portugal and Germany. With 18 months until kickoff across three North American hosts, qualification uncertainties, injuries, and coaching shifts maintain this crowded title race among deep, battle-tested squads.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEspagne 15.3%
Angleterre 13.1%
Argentine 10.9%
France 10.4%
$346,641,702 Vol.
$346,641,702 Vol.

Espagne
15%

Angleterre
13%

Argentine
11%

France
10%

Brésil
9%

Portugal
7%

Allemagne
5%

Pays-Bas
3%

Norvège
3%

Italie
2%

Belgique
2%

Maroc
2%

Colombie
2%

États-Unis
2%

Uruguay
1%

Japon
1%

Croatie
1%

Mexique
1%

Équateur
1%

Suisse
1%

Sénégal
1%

Canada
1%

Autriche
1%

Corée du Sud
<1%

Côte d'Ivoire
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Écosse
<1%

Australie
<1%

Égypte
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algérie
<1%

Tunisie
<1%

Afrique du Sud
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Arabie saoudite
<1%

Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%

Haïti
<1%

Jordanie
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ouzbékistan
<1%

Cape Verde
<1%
Espagne 15.3%
Angleterre 13.1%
Argentine 10.9%
France 10.4%
$346,641,702 Vol.
$346,641,702 Vol.

Espagne
15%

Angleterre
13%

Argentine
11%

France
10%

Brésil
9%

Portugal
7%

Allemagne
5%

Pays-Bas
3%

Norvège
3%

Italie
2%

Belgique
2%

Maroc
2%

Colombie
2%

États-Unis
2%

Uruguay
1%

Japon
1%

Croatie
1%

Mexique
1%

Équateur
1%

Suisse
1%

Sénégal
1%

Canada
1%

Autriche
1%

Corée du Sud
<1%

Côte d'Ivoire
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Écosse
<1%

Australie
<1%

Égypte
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algérie
<1%

Tunisie
<1%

Afrique du Sud
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Arabie saoudite
<1%

Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%

Haïti
<1%

Jordanie
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ouzbékistan
<1%

Cape Verde
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain's Euro 2024 triumph, powered by Lamine Yamal's breakout and Rodri's midfield dominance, propels them to 15.3% trader consensus as slight favorites for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but razor-thin gaps to England (13.1%), Argentina (10.9%), and France (10.4%) underscore fierce global parity. England's final run with Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane keeps them close, while Lionel Messi's Copa America heroics buoy Argentina despite his advancing age. Brazil lags at 8.6% post-disappointing Copa exit, as youth surges in Spain and Norway (3.2%, Haaland-led) mix with veterans in Portugal and Germany. With 18 months until kickoff across three North American hosts, qualification uncertainties, injuries, and coaching shifts maintain this crowded title race among deep, battle-tested squads.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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