George Russell tops trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for the 2025 F1 Drivers' Championship, fueled by Mercedes' late-2024 resurgence with multiple podiums and wins amid Red Bull's aerodynamic struggles and intra-team tensions at McLaren. Recent confirmation of rookie Kimi Antonelli as Russell's teammate—after dominating F2 testing—bolsters Mercedes' lineup depth at 18.0%, positioning them as constructors' frontrunners under current regulations. Lewis Hamilton's Ferrari switch (6.0%) faces integration risks with Charles Leclerc, while Max Verstappen's 5.5% reflects Red Bull's RB21 uncertainty and potential Lawson pairing. Momentum shifts from Mercedes' upgrades and rivals' inconsistencies drive this pricing, though pre-season testing looms large.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGeorge Russell 60%
Kimi Antonelli 18.0%
Lewis Hamilton 6.0%
Max Verstappen 6%
$33,335,815 Vol.
$33,335,815 Vol.
George Russell
60%
Kimi Antonelli
18%
Lewis Hamilton
6%
Max Verstappen
6%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Titre d'élément de groupe : Lando Norris
2%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
George Russell 60%
Kimi Antonelli 18.0%
Lewis Hamilton 6.0%
Max Verstappen 6%
$33,335,815 Vol.
$33,335,815 Vol.
George Russell
60%
Kimi Antonelli
18%
Lewis Hamilton
6%
Max Verstappen
6%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Titre d'élément de groupe : Lando Norris
2%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...George Russell tops trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for the 2025 F1 Drivers' Championship, fueled by Mercedes' late-2024 resurgence with multiple podiums and wins amid Red Bull's aerodynamic struggles and intra-team tensions at McLaren. Recent confirmation of rookie Kimi Antonelli as Russell's teammate—after dominating F2 testing—bolsters Mercedes' lineup depth at 18.0%, positioning them as constructors' frontrunners under current regulations. Lewis Hamilton's Ferrari switch (6.0%) faces integration risks with Charles Leclerc, while Max Verstappen's 5.5% reflects Red Bull's RB21 uncertainty and potential Lawson pairing. Momentum shifts from Mercedes' upgrades and rivals' inconsistencies drive this pricing, though pre-season testing looms large.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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