Javokhir Sindarov holds a strong 70.5% implied probability in the 2026 World Chess Championship market due to his record-breaking 10/14 victory in the Candidates Tournament, which he clinched with a round to spare, combined with consistent high-level results throughout 2026 and a career-high rating near 2775. World number one Magnus Carlsen has repeatedly called Sindarov the clear favorite, highlighting his well-rounded style and absence of obvious weaknesses ahead of the November 24–December 12 match in Geneva. In contrast, reigning champion Gukesh Dommaraju sits at 29.5% amid a prolonged slump, including last-place finishes in recent classical events like Norway Chess and Prague, which have dropped his rating and raised questions about form entering the 14-game classical contest. Trader consensus reflects these recent performance gaps and the psychological edge of strong early momentum in title matches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$68,795 Vol.
$68,795 Vol.
Javokhir Sindarov
71%
Gukesh Dommaraju
30%
$68,795 Vol.
$68,795 Vol.
Javokhir Sindarov
71%
Gukesh Dommaraju
30%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Javokhir Sindarov holds a strong 70.5% implied probability in the 2026 World Chess Championship market due to his record-breaking 10/14 victory in the Candidates Tournament, which he clinched with a round to spare, combined with consistent high-level results throughout 2026 and a career-high rating near 2775. World number one Magnus Carlsen has repeatedly called Sindarov the clear favorite, highlighting his well-rounded style and absence of obvious weaknesses ahead of the November 24–December 12 match in Geneva. In contrast, reigning champion Gukesh Dommaraju sits at 29.5% amid a prolonged slump, including last-place finishes in recent classical events like Norway Chess and Prague, which have dropped his rating and raised questions about form entering the 14-game classical contest. Trader consensus reflects these recent performance gaps and the psychological edge of strong early momentum in title matches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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