Traders heavily favor Mercedes at 76% implied probability for the F1 Constructors' Championship, driven by their strong late-2024 momentum with multiple podiums and wins in challenging conditions, bolstering confidence in their 2025 car development under new technical regs. George Russell's consistency pairs with rookie Kimi Antonelli's promise, offsetting Lewis Hamilton's departure to Ferrari, where internal dynamics with Charles Leclerc may hinder synergy. Ferrari sits second at 14.5% on Hamilton's star power but recent reliability woes; McLaren's 4.7% reflects Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri's form tempered by development risks. Red Bull's 2.3% stems from Sergio Perez's exit and second-driver uncertainty with Yuki Tsunoda or Liam Lawson, alongside Honda power unit transition concerns. Recent Abu Dhabi testing highlighted Mercedes' pace advantages in qualifying simulations and long runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMercedes 76%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 4.5%
Red Bull Racing 2.3%
$7,031,529 Vol.
$7,031,529 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
76%
Ferrari
14%
McLaren
4%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Aston Martin
1%
Audi
1%
Cadillac
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Haas
1%
Alpine
1%
Williams
<1%
Mercedes 76%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 4.5%
Red Bull Racing 2.3%
$7,031,529 Vol.
$7,031,529 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
$491,870 Vol.
76%
Ferrari
$239,849 Vol.
14%
McLaren
$826,270 Vol.
4%
Red Bull Racing
$296,796 Vol.
2%
Aston Martin
$511,533 Vol.
1%
Audi
$448,146 Vol.
1%
Cadillac
$888,131 Vol.
1%
Racing Bulls
$769,098 Vol.
1%
Haas
$912,879 Vol.
1%
Alpine
$870,303 Vol.
1%
Williams
$777,670 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Traders heavily favor Mercedes at 76% implied probability for the F1 Constructors' Championship, driven by their strong late-2024 momentum with multiple podiums and wins in challenging conditions, bolstering confidence in their 2025 car development under new technical regs. George Russell's consistency pairs with rookie Kimi Antonelli's promise, offsetting Lewis Hamilton's departure to Ferrari, where internal dynamics with Charles Leclerc may hinder synergy. Ferrari sits second at 14.5% on Hamilton's star power but recent reliability woes; McLaren's 4.7% reflects Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri's form tempered by development risks. Red Bull's 2.3% stems from Sergio Perez's exit and second-driver uncertainty with Yuki Tsunoda or Liam Lawson, alongside Honda power unit transition concerns. Recent Abu Dhabi testing highlighted Mercedes' pace advantages in qualifying simulations and long runs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$7,031,529Date de fin
Dec 6, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Traders heavily favor Mercedes at 76% implied probability for the F1 Constructors' Championship, driven by their strong late-2024 momentum with multiple podiums and wins in challenging conditions, bolstering confidence in their 2025 car development under new technical regs. George Russell's consistency pairs with rookie Kimi Antonelli's promise, offsetting Lewis Hamilton's departure to Ferrari, where internal dynamics with Charles Leclerc may hinder synergy. Ferrari sits second at 14.5% on Hamilton's star power but recent reliability woes; McLaren's 4.7% reflects Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri's form tempered by development risks. Red Bull's 2.3% stems from Sergio Perez's exit and second-driver uncertainty with Yuki Tsunoda or Liam Lawson, alongside Honda power unit transition concerns. Recent Abu Dhabi testing highlighted Mercedes' pace advantages in qualifying simulations and long runs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$7,031,529Date de fin
Dec 6, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily favor Mercedes at 76% implied probability for the F1 Constructors' Championship, driven by their strong late-2024 momentum with multiple podiums and wins in challenging conditions, bolstering confidence in their 2025 car development under new technical regs. George Russell's consistency pairs with rookie Kimi Antonelli's promise, offsetting Lewis Hamilton's departure to Ferrari, where internal dynamics with Charles Leclerc may hinder synergy. Ferrari sits second at 14.5% on Hamilton's star power but recent reliability woes; McLaren's 4.7% reflects Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri's form tempered by development risks. Red Bull's 2.3% stems from Sergio Perez's exit and second-driver uncertainty with Yuki Tsunoda or Liam Lawson, alongside Honda power unit transition concerns. Recent Abu Dhabi testing highlighted Mercedes' pace advantages in qualifying simulations and long runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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