Mercedes holds a commanding 73.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after surging to 180 points through the first four Grands Prix of 2026, including pole-to-win sweeps in the opening trio led by Kimi Antonelli's breakout 100-point drivers' lead and George Russell's consistent support. Their superior power unit and chassis geometry have delivered unmatched race pace and reliability, outscoring rivals by 70 points over Ferrari and 86 over McLaren post-Miami GP. Recent upgrades from McLaren (new rear wing) and Ferrari (major aero package) narrowed straightline deficits slightly in Miami but failed to dent Mercedes' dominance, while Red Bull's reliability woes cap them at 1.7% with just 30 points. Trader consensus prices in Mercedes' development head start under new regs, though mid-season convergence remains possible via rival convergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMercedes 74%
McLaren 15.4%
Ferrari 8%
Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$16,020,258 Vol.
$16,020,258 Vol.
6 déc. 2026
Mercedes
74%
McLaren
15%
Ferrari
8%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Williams
1%
Aston Martin
1%
Audi
1%
Cadillac
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Haas
1%
Alpine
1%
Mercedes 74%
McLaren 15.4%
Ferrari 8%
Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$16,020,258 Vol.
$16,020,258 Vol.
6 déc. 2026
Mercedes
$597,181 Vol.
74%
McLaren
$1,409,113 Vol.
15%
Ferrari
$309,529 Vol.
8%
Red Bull Racing
$542,175 Vol.
2%
Williams
$2,135,303 Vol.
1%
Aston Martin
$1,903,677 Vol.
1%
Audi
$1,826,880 Vol.
1%
Cadillac
$1,668,547 Vol.
1%
Racing Bulls
$1,753,059 Vol.
1%
Haas
$1,938,716 Vol.
1%
Alpine
$1,936,344 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 73.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after surging to 180 points through the first four Grands Prix of 2026, including pole-to-win sweeps in the opening trio led by Kimi Antonelli's breakout 100-point drivers' lead and George Russell's consistent support. Their superior power unit and chassis geometry have delivered unmatched race pace and reliability, outscoring rivals by 70 points over Ferrari and 86 over McLaren post-Miami GP. Recent upgrades from McLaren (new rear wing) and Ferrari (major aero package) narrowed straightline deficits slightly in Miami but failed to dent Mercedes' dominance, while Red Bull's reliability woes cap them at 1.7% with just 30 points. Trader consensus prices in Mercedes' development head start under new regs, though mid-season convergence remains possible via rival convergence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$16,020,258Date de fin
6 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 73.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after surging to 180 points through the first four Grands Prix of 2026, including pole-to-win sweeps in the opening trio led by Kimi Antonelli's breakout 100-point drivers' lead and George Russell's consistent support. Their superior power unit and chassis geometry have delivered unmatched race pace and reliability, outscoring rivals by 70 points over Ferrari and 86 over McLaren post-Miami GP. Recent upgrades from McLaren (new rear wing) and Ferrari (major aero package) narrowed straightline deficits slightly in Miami but failed to dent Mercedes' dominance, while Red Bull's reliability woes cap them at 1.7% with just 30 points. Trader consensus prices in Mercedes' development head start under new regs, though mid-season convergence remains possible via rival convergence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$16,020,258Date de fin
6 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 73.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after surging to 180 points through the first four Grands Prix of 2026, including pole-to-win sweeps in the opening trio led by Kimi Antonelli's breakout 100-point drivers' lead and George Russell's consistent support. Their superior power unit and chassis geometry have delivered unmatched race pace and reliability, outscoring rivals by 70 points over Ferrari and 86 over McLaren post-Miami GP. Recent upgrades from McLaren (new rear wing) and Ferrari (major aero package) narrowed straightline deficits slightly in Miami but failed to dent Mercedes' dominance, while Red Bull's reliability woes cap them at 1.7% with just 30 points. Trader consensus prices in Mercedes' development head start under new regs, though mid-season convergence remains possible via rival convergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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