Mercedes holds a commanding 70-point lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship after four Grands Prix, with 180 points fueled by Kimi Antonelli's drivers' lead (100 points) and George Russell's consistent podiums, including Antonelli's Miami GP win on May 3 where Mercedes maximized points despite Russell's P4. Traders price Mercedes at 73.5% implied probability, reflecting their superior adaptation to new active aerodynamics and electric-heavy power units amid Red Bull's struggles (30 points). McLaren's 15.3% reflects recent momentum from a Miami double podium (Norris P2, Piastri P3), closing to 16 points behind Ferrari (110 points, 7.5%), while rivals face development hurdles in the early season.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMercedes 74%
McLaren 15.3%
Ferrari 8%
Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$15,682,659 Vol.
$15,682,659 Vol.

Mercedes
74%

McLaren
15%

Ferrari
8%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%

Cadillac
<1%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Haas
<1%

Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 74%
McLaren 15.3%
Ferrari 8%
Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$15,682,659 Vol.
$15,682,659 Vol.

Mercedes
74%

McLaren
15%

Ferrari
8%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%

Cadillac
<1%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Haas
<1%

Alpine
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 70-point lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship after four Grands Prix, with 180 points fueled by Kimi Antonelli's drivers' lead (100 points) and George Russell's consistent podiums, including Antonelli's Miami GP win on May 3 where Mercedes maximized points despite Russell's P4. Traders price Mercedes at 73.5% implied probability, reflecting their superior adaptation to new active aerodynamics and electric-heavy power units amid Red Bull's struggles (30 points). McLaren's 15.3% reflects recent momentum from a Miami double podium (Norris P2, Piastri P3), closing to 16 points behind Ferrari (110 points, 7.5%), while rivals face development hurdles in the early season.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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