Mercedes commands 75.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market, reflecting trader consensus on their power unit dominance and engineering edge entering 2026's transformative regulations featuring simplified hybrid systems, active aerodynamics, and sustainable fuels. Recent Red Bull Racing turmoil—including double DNFs at the Mexico and Brazil Grands Prix, Adrian Newey's departure to Aston Martin, and Sergio Perez's benching—has slashed their odds to 2.3%, amplifying doubts over their Ford power unit transition. Ferrari at 14.5% benefits from Lewis Hamilton's signing alongside Charles Leclerc but faces inconsistency concerns from late-2024 form. McLaren's 5.1% reflects strong current momentum with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, though reliant on Mercedes power units, while newcomers like Cadillac and Audi languish below 1% amid debut uncertainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMercedes 76%
Ferrari 15%
McLaren 5.2%
Red Bull Racing 2.3%
$7,146,696 Vol.
$7,146,696 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
76%
Ferrari
15%
McLaren
5%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Cadillac
1%
Aston Martin
1%
Audi
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Haas
1%
Alpine
1%
Williams
<1%
Mercedes 76%
Ferrari 15%
McLaren 5.2%
Red Bull Racing 2.3%
$7,146,696 Vol.
$7,146,696 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
$492,452 Vol.
76%
Ferrari
$240,504 Vol.
15%
McLaren
$836,002 Vol.
5%
Red Bull Racing
$358,541 Vol.
2%
Cadillac
$899,080 Vol.
1%
Aston Martin
$512,251 Vol.
1%
Audi
$452,568 Vol.
1%
Racing Bulls
$777,582 Vol.
1%
Haas
$917,029 Vol.
1%
Alpine
$876,667 Vol.
1%
Williams
$784,021 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes commands 75.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market, reflecting trader consensus on their power unit dominance and engineering edge entering 2026's transformative regulations featuring simplified hybrid systems, active aerodynamics, and sustainable fuels. Recent Red Bull Racing turmoil—including double DNFs at the Mexico and Brazil Grands Prix, Adrian Newey's departure to Aston Martin, and Sergio Perez's benching—has slashed their odds to 2.3%, amplifying doubts over their Ford power unit transition. Ferrari at 14.5% benefits from Lewis Hamilton's signing alongside Charles Leclerc but faces inconsistency concerns from late-2024 form. McLaren's 5.1% reflects strong current momentum with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, though reliant on Mercedes power units, while newcomers like Cadillac and Audi languish below 1% amid debut uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$7,146,696Date de fin
Dec 6, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes commands 75.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market, reflecting trader consensus on their power unit dominance and engineering edge entering 2026's transformative regulations featuring simplified hybrid systems, active aerodynamics, and sustainable fuels. Recent Red Bull Racing turmoil—including double DNFs at the Mexico and Brazil Grands Prix, Adrian Newey's departure to Aston Martin, and Sergio Perez's benching—has slashed their odds to 2.3%, amplifying doubts over their Ford power unit transition. Ferrari at 14.5% benefits from Lewis Hamilton's signing alongside Charles Leclerc but faces inconsistency concerns from late-2024 form. McLaren's 5.1% reflects strong current momentum with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, though reliant on Mercedes power units, while newcomers like Cadillac and Audi languish below 1% amid debut uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$7,146,696Date de fin
Dec 6, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes commands 75.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market, reflecting trader consensus on their power unit dominance and engineering edge entering 2026's transformative regulations featuring simplified hybrid systems, active aerodynamics, and sustainable fuels. Recent Red Bull Racing turmoil—including double DNFs at the Mexico and Brazil Grands Prix, Adrian Newey's departure to Aston Martin, and Sergio Perez's benching—has slashed their odds to 2.3%, amplifying doubts over their Ford power unit transition. Ferrari at 14.5% benefits from Lewis Hamilton's signing alongside Charles Leclerc but faces inconsistency concerns from late-2024 form. McLaren's 5.1% reflects strong current momentum with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, though reliant on Mercedes power units, while newcomers like Cadillac and Audi languish below 1% amid debut uncertainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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