Mercedes holds a commanding 70-point lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship after Kimi Antonelli's Miami Grand Prix victory on May 3, extending their dominance with wins across the first four races under new regulations that favor their power unit and chassis efficiency. Trader consensus prices reflect this skin-in-the-game wisdom, implying 73.5% probability as Antonelli (100 points) and George Russell (80) consistently score big, outpacing rivals in qualifying and race pace. McLaren's 15.4% reflects recent momentum from a Miami double podium, closing the gap to Ferrari (now at 110 points, 7.5% implied odds) amid the Scuderia's minor slip. Red Bull languishes at 1.7% due to reliability woes and low points (30), while newcomers like Audi and Cadillac trail far behind with minimal scoring potential remaining in the 24-race calendar.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMercedes 74%
McLaren 15.4%
Ferrari 8%
Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$15,814,726 Vol.
$15,814,726 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
74%
McLaren
15%
Ferrari
8%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Aston Martin
1%
Audi
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Haas
1%
Alpine
1%
Williams
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Mercedes 74%
McLaren 15.4%
Ferrari 8%
Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$15,814,726 Vol.
$15,814,726 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
$597,077 Vol.
74%
McLaren
$1,409,113 Vol.
15%
Ferrari
$309,528 Vol.
8%
Red Bull Racing
$542,174 Vol.
2%
Aston Martin
$1,898,585 Vol.
1%
Audi
$1,815,079 Vol.
1%
Racing Bulls
$1,747,975 Vol.
1%
Haas
$1,925,616 Vol.
1%
Alpine
$1,928,893 Vol.
1%
Williams
$2,046,234 Vol.
<1%
Cadillac
$1,594,454 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 70-point lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship after Kimi Antonelli's Miami Grand Prix victory on May 3, extending their dominance with wins across the first four races under new regulations that favor their power unit and chassis efficiency. Trader consensus prices reflect this skin-in-the-game wisdom, implying 73.5% probability as Antonelli (100 points) and George Russell (80) consistently score big, outpacing rivals in qualifying and race pace. McLaren's 15.4% reflects recent momentum from a Miami double podium, closing the gap to Ferrari (now at 110 points, 7.5% implied odds) amid the Scuderia's minor slip. Red Bull languishes at 1.7% due to reliability woes and low points (30), while newcomers like Audi and Cadillac trail far behind with minimal scoring potential remaining in the 24-race calendar.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$15,814,726End Date
Dec 6, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 70-point lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship after Kimi Antonelli's Miami Grand Prix victory on May 3, extending their dominance with wins across the first four races under new regulations that favor their power unit and chassis efficiency. Trader consensus prices reflect this skin-in-the-game wisdom, implying 73.5% probability as Antonelli (100 points) and George Russell (80) consistently score big, outpacing rivals in qualifying and race pace. McLaren's 15.4% reflects recent momentum from a Miami double podium, closing the gap to Ferrari (now at 110 points, 7.5% implied odds) amid the Scuderia's minor slip. Red Bull languishes at 1.7% due to reliability woes and low points (30), while newcomers like Audi and Cadillac trail far behind with minimal scoring potential remaining in the 24-race calendar.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$15,814,726End Date
Dec 6, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 70-point lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship after Kimi Antonelli's Miami Grand Prix victory on May 3, extending their dominance with wins across the first four races under new regulations that favor their power unit and chassis efficiency. Trader consensus prices reflect this skin-in-the-game wisdom, implying 73.5% probability as Antonelli (100 points) and George Russell (80) consistently score big, outpacing rivals in qualifying and race pace. McLaren's 15.4% reflects recent momentum from a Miami double podium, closing the gap to Ferrari (now at 110 points, 7.5% implied odds) amid the Scuderia's minor slip. Red Bull languishes at 1.7% due to reliability woes and low points (30), while newcomers like Audi and Cadillac trail far behind with minimal scoring potential remaining in the 24-race calendar.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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