Trader consensus favors Max Verstappen at 28.5% implied probability for the 2026 FIA F1 Action of the Year, buoyed by his stunning charge from P20 to P6 with 14 overtakes at the Australian Grand Prix opener amid new regulations' Overtake Mode sparking chaotic wheel-to-wheel racing and triple the passes of 2025. Lewis Hamilton's first Ferrari podium in China highlighted an epic multi-lap intra-team battle with Charles Leclerc, exchanging positions repeatedly. Kimi Antonelli's pole-to-victory masterclasses in China and Japan, securing youngest-ever championship lead, differentiate his bold rookie aggression, while George Russell's Mercedes podium streak and China Sprint win underscore consistent race pace. Early-season Suzuka drama keeps the field competitive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMax Verstappen 40%
Kimi Antonelli 30%
Lewis Hamilton 30%
George Russell 19%
Max Verstappen
29%
Kimi Antonelli
19%
Lewis Hamilton
20%
George Russell
19%
Charles Leclerc
19%
Oscar Piastri
18%
Liam Lawson
14%
Fernando Alonso
10%
Alexander Albon
4%
Lando Norris
4%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Carlos Sainz
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Max Verstappen 40%
Kimi Antonelli 30%
Lewis Hamilton 30%
George Russell 19%
Max Verstappen
29%
Kimi Antonelli
19%
Lewis Hamilton
20%
George Russell
19%
Charles Leclerc
19%
Oscar Piastri
18%
Liam Lawson
14%
Fernando Alonso
10%
Alexander Albon
4%
Lando Norris
4%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Carlos Sainz
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Max Verstappen at 28.5% implied probability for the 2026 FIA F1 Action of the Year, buoyed by his stunning charge from P20 to P6 with 14 overtakes at the Australian Grand Prix opener amid new regulations' Overtake Mode sparking chaotic wheel-to-wheel racing and triple the passes of 2025. Lewis Hamilton's first Ferrari podium in China highlighted an epic multi-lap intra-team battle with Charles Leclerc, exchanging positions repeatedly. Kimi Antonelli's pole-to-victory masterclasses in China and Japan, securing youngest-ever championship lead, differentiate his bold rookie aggression, while George Russell's Mercedes podium streak and China Sprint win underscore consistent race pace. Early-season Suzuka drama keeps the field competitive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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