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Formula 1 predictions & odds

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F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

44%

George Russell

$107M Vol.

$3M today

$11M Liq.

154

Ends in 8 months

F1 Constructors' Champion

F1 Constructors' Champion

77%

Mercedes

$12M Vol.

$271K today

$1M Liq.

23

Ends in 8 months

Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?

Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?

26%

$1.3K Vol.

$497 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

F1: Action of the Year

F1: Action of the Year

34%

Kimi Antonelli

$8.4K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Ethena hit in April?

What price will Ethena hit in April?

11%

↑ 0.16

$2.2K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

57%

$200M

$351K Vol.

$116K Liq.

12

Ends in over 1 year

What price will Ethereum hit in April?

What price will Ethereum hit in April?

35%

↑ 2,600

$6M Vol.

$405K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

32%

↓ $2.40

$258K Vol.

$214K Liq.

1

Ends in 15 days

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

69%

$2B

$538K Vol.

$116K Liq.

13

Ends in over 1 year

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

77%

50%+

$57.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

12

Ends in 2 months

Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?

43%

$500M

$96.3K Vol.

$44.9K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

Fluent FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Fluent FDV above ___ one day after launch?

98%

$20M

$124K Vol.

$112K Liq.

4

Ends in over 1 year

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

92%

40%+

$128K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

94%

$50M

$4M Vol.

$72.1K today

$550K Liq.

266

Ends in over 1 year

Aligned Layer FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Aligned Layer FDV above ___ one day after launch?

89%

$20M

$7.4K Vol.

$68.3K Liq.

1

Ends in over 1 year

What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?

What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?

29%

↑ 85

$207K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

63%

60%+

$20.3K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 months

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

34%

70-80B

$135K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

4

How many SpaceX launches in April?

How many SpaceX launches in April?

52%

≤11

$43.9K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit Week of April 13 2026?

What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit Week of April 13 2026?

100%

↑ $5.25

$11.7K Vol.

$32.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Formula 1.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Formula 1 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “F1 Drivers' Champion”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $131.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “F1 Drivers' Champion,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “F1 Drivers' Champion,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to George Russell. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Formula 1 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.