Bayern Munich leads trader consensus at 34.5% implied probability for UEFA Champions League glory after a dramatic quarterfinal aggregate triumph over Real Madrid, fueled by Harry Kane's clinical finishing and Michael Olise's impact, propelling them into a blockbuster semifinal against PSG. Arsenal (27.5%) advanced resiliently via a 0-0 second-leg draw with Sporting CP, underscoring their defensive solidity from topping the league phase, now facing gritty Atletico Madrid (11.9%), who outlasted Barcelona under Simeone's tactics. PSG (25.5%) dispatched Liverpool convincingly, highlighting Mbappé's threat. With first legs April 28 and return fixtures May 6—featuring home advantages—the bunched odds reflect evenly matched knockout paths, recent momentum, and upset potential in two-leg ties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBayern Munich 35%
Arsenal 28%
PSG 26%
Atletico Madrid 11.9%
$241,609,487 Vol.
$241,609,487 Vol.
Bayern Munich
35%
Arsenal
28%
PSG
26%
Atletico Madrid
12%
Club Brugge
<1%
Bayern Munich 35%
Arsenal 28%
PSG 26%
Atletico Madrid 11.9%
$241,609,487 Vol.
$241,609,487 Vol.
Bayern Munich
35%
Arsenal
28%
PSG
26%
Atletico Madrid
12%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bayern Munich leads trader consensus at 34.5% implied probability for UEFA Champions League glory after a dramatic quarterfinal aggregate triumph over Real Madrid, fueled by Harry Kane's clinical finishing and Michael Olise's impact, propelling them into a blockbuster semifinal against PSG. Arsenal (27.5%) advanced resiliently via a 0-0 second-leg draw with Sporting CP, underscoring their defensive solidity from topping the league phase, now facing gritty Atletico Madrid (11.9%), who outlasted Barcelona under Simeone's tactics. PSG (25.5%) dispatched Liverpool convincingly, highlighting Mbappé's threat. With first legs April 28 and return fixtures May 6—featuring home advantages—the bunched odds reflect evenly matched knockout paths, recent momentum, and upset potential in two-leg ties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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