Aston Villa tops trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability after dominating the UEFA Europa League league phase with six wins from six, showcasing defensive solidity and Ollie Watkins' scoring form amid Premier League title contention. Real Betis (15.5%) and Porto (15.3%) follow closely, buoyed by unbeaten domestic campaigns and straightforward knockout playoff draws against weaker sides like Gent and Midtjylland. Nottingham Forest's (9.2%) breakout run stems from four league-phase victories and Morgan Gibbs-White's creativity, while Celta Vigo (8.6%), Bologna (7.6%), Freiburg (6.0%), and Braga (3.9%) benefit from momentum in tight mid-table scraps and rest advantages before January's playoffs. Recent 2-0 Villa thrashing of M'Borh and Betis' Copa del Rey progress reinforce frontrunner status, though upsets loom in two-legged ties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedUEFA Europa League: Winner
UEFA Europa League: Winner
Aston Villa 34%
Real Betis 16%
Porto 15.3%
Nott'm Forest 9.3%
$2,341,589 Vol.
$2,341,589 Vol.
Aston Villa
34%
Real Betis
16%
Porto
15%
Nott'm Forest
9%
Celta
9%
Bologna
8%
Freiburg
6%
Braga
4%
Aston Villa 34%
Real Betis 16%
Porto 15.3%
Nott'm Forest 9.3%
$2,341,589 Vol.
$2,341,589 Vol.
Aston Villa
34%
Real Betis
16%
Porto
15%
Nott'm Forest
9%
Celta
9%
Bologna
8%
Freiburg
6%
Braga
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2025, 1:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aston Villa tops trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability after dominating the UEFA Europa League league phase with six wins from six, showcasing defensive solidity and Ollie Watkins' scoring form amid Premier League title contention. Real Betis (15.5%) and Porto (15.3%) follow closely, buoyed by unbeaten domestic campaigns and straightforward knockout playoff draws against weaker sides like Gent and Midtjylland. Nottingham Forest's (9.2%) breakout run stems from four league-phase victories and Morgan Gibbs-White's creativity, while Celta Vigo (8.6%), Bologna (7.6%), Freiburg (6.0%), and Braga (3.9%) benefit from momentum in tight mid-table scraps and rest advantages before January's playoffs. Recent 2-0 Villa thrashing of M'Borh and Betis' Copa del Rey progress reinforce frontrunner status, though upsets loom in two-legged ties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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