Trader consensus crowns Aston Villa as UEFA Europa League winner favorite at 30.5% implied probability, propelled by their unbeaten league phase run (five wins, one draw) and Unai Emery's four prior titles, amplified by Premier League title-chasing form. Lyon surged to 13.5% after playoff knockout of Fenerbahce and a gritty 2-1 first-leg round-of-16 win over Qarabag, showcasing French Ligue 1 revival. Roma (10.5%) and Porto (10.2%) rely on Serie A/A Primeira Liga experience and favorable second-leg home ties, while Real Betis (9.5%) leverages La Liga consistency post-playoff edge over Vitória Guimarães. First-leg results from March 6 have tightened odds, underscoring knockout volatility with no major injuries reported yet.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedUEFA Europa League: Winner
UEFA Europa League: Winner
Aston Villa 30%
Lyon 13%
Porto 10.8%
Roma 11%
$2,881,580 Vol.
$2,881,580 Vol.
Aston Villa
30%
Lyon
13%
Porto
11%
Roma
11%
Real Betis
9%
Nott'm Forest
4%
Stuttgart
4%
Bologna
4%
Celta
4%
Midtjylland
3%
Freiburg
3%
Panathinaikos
2%
Ferencváros
2%
Lille
2%
Genk
2%
Braga
1%
Aston Villa 30%
Lyon 13%
Porto 10.8%
Roma 11%
$2,881,580 Vol.
$2,881,580 Vol.
Aston Villa
30%
Lyon
13%
Porto
11%
Roma
11%
Real Betis
9%
Nott'm Forest
4%
Stuttgart
4%
Bologna
4%
Celta
4%
Midtjylland
3%
Freiburg
3%
Panathinaikos
2%
Ferencváros
2%
Lille
2%
Genk
2%
Braga
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2025, 1:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus crowns Aston Villa as UEFA Europa League winner favorite at 30.5% implied probability, propelled by their unbeaten league phase run (five wins, one draw) and Unai Emery's four prior titles, amplified by Premier League title-chasing form. Lyon surged to 13.5% after playoff knockout of Fenerbahce and a gritty 2-1 first-leg round-of-16 win over Qarabag, showcasing French Ligue 1 revival. Roma (10.5%) and Porto (10.2%) rely on Serie A/A Primeira Liga experience and favorable second-leg home ties, while Real Betis (9.5%) leverages La Liga consistency post-playoff edge over Vitória Guimarães. First-leg results from March 6 have tightened odds, underscoring knockout volatility with no major injuries reported yet.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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