Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026 at 99.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official S-1 filing, roadshow announcements, or public statements from its Blackstone-backed parent Vungle signaling near-term public market plans. As a key player in mobile app growth marketing and adtech, Liftoff has remained private since Blackstone's 2021 acquisition amid a cooled IPO environment for adtech firms, marked by high interest rates, volatile public valuations, and advertiser caution on spend. No developments in the past 30 days have shifted sentiment, reinforcing trader caution on private equity exits. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected S-1 drop, broader adtech recovery, or Blackstone's portfolio optimization push ahead of potential 2026 timelines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo IPO before April 2026 99.6%
4.50B–4.75B 2.8%
4.25B–4.50B <1%
<4.25B <1%
$32,771 Vol.
$32,771 Vol.
Feb 6, 2026
<4.25B
1%
4.25B–4.50B
1%
4.50B–4.75B
3%
4.75B–5.00B
<1%
5.00B–5.25B
<1%
5.25B–5.50B
1%
5.50B+
<1%
No IPO before April 2026
100%
No IPO before April 2026 99.6%
4.50B–4.75B 2.8%
4.25B–4.50B <1%
<4.25B <1%
$32,771 Vol.
$32,771 Vol.
Feb 6, 2026
<4.25B
$0 Vol.
1%
4.25B–4.50B
$0 Vol.
1%
4.50B–4.75B
$0 Vol.
3%
4.75B–5.00B
$0 Vol.
<1%
5.00B–5.25B
$0 Vol.
<1%
5.25B–5.50B
$0 Vol.
1%
5.50B+
$0 Vol.
<1%
No IPO before April 2026
$32,771 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on Liftoff Mobile’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026 at 99.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official S-1 filing, roadshow announcements, or public statements from its Blackstone-backed parent Vungle signaling near-term public market plans. As a key player in mobile app growth marketing and adtech, Liftoff has remained private since Blackstone's 2021 acquisition amid a cooled IPO environment for adtech firms, marked by high interest rates, volatile public valuations, and advertiser caution on spend. No developments in the past 30 days have shifted sentiment, reinforcing trader caution on private equity exits. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected S-1 drop, broader adtech recovery, or Blackstone's portfolio optimization push ahead of potential 2026 timelines.
This market will resolve based on Liftoff Mobile’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Feb 5, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Volume
$32,771End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 5, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Liftoff Mobile’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026 at 99.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official S-1 filing, roadshow announcements, or public statements from its Blackstone-backed parent Vungle signaling near-term public market plans. As a key player in mobile app growth marketing and adtech, Liftoff has remained private since Blackstone's 2021 acquisition amid a cooled IPO environment for adtech firms, marked by high interest rates, volatile public valuations, and advertiser caution on spend. No developments in the past 30 days have shifted sentiment, reinforcing trader caution on private equity exits. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected S-1 drop, broader adtech recovery, or Blackstone's portfolio optimization push ahead of potential 2026 timelines.
This market will resolve based on Liftoff Mobile’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$32,771End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 5, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026 at 99.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official S-1 filing, roadshow announcements, or public statements from its Blackstone-backed parent Vungle signaling near-term public market plans. As a key player in mobile app growth marketing and adtech, Liftoff has remained private since Blackstone's 2021 acquisition amid a cooled IPO environment for adtech firms, marked by high interest rates, volatile public valuations, and advertiser caution on spend. No developments in the past 30 days have shifted sentiment, reinforcing trader caution on private equity exits. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected S-1 drop, broader adtech recovery, or Blackstone's portfolio optimization push ahead of potential 2026 timelines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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