Gold futures (GC) trade near $2,165/oz as the March contract approaches expiration on March 27, with trader consensus pricing in end-of-month levels shaped by Fed policy signals and inflation dynamics. The metal's recent rally to a record $2,229/oz stemmed from safe-haven demand amid Middle East tensions, robust central bank purchases (led by China), and initial rate-cut hopes, but pulled back on strong U.S. jobs data and the FOMC's March 20 decision to hold rates steady while trimming 2024 cut projections to three. Critical ahead: March 29 core PCE inflation release—consensus eyes 0.3% monthly gain; softer data could boost non-yielding gold via weaker USD and Treasury yields, while hotter prints reinforce hawkish stance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedGold (GC) above ___ end of March?
Gold (GC) above ___ end of March?
$144,570 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
$7,000
<1%
$6,500
<1%
$6,000
<1%
$5,800
1%
$5,600
1%
$5,400
1%
$5,200
1%
$5,000
3%
$4,800
8%
$4,600
18%
$4,400
54%
$4,000
96%
$144,570 Vol.
$7,000
$14,827 Vol.
<1%
$6,500
$5,801 Vol.
<1%
$6,000
$7,828 Vol.
<1%
$5,800
$30,495 Vol.
1%
$5,600
$4,797 Vol.
1%
$5,400
$43,195 Vol.
1%
$5,200
$4,403 Vol.
1%
$5,000
$9,590 Vol.
3%
$4,800
$9,129 Vol.
8%
$4,600
$5,414 Vol.
18%
$4,400
$1,972 Vol.
54%
$4,000
$7,119 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) trade near $2,165/oz as the March contract approaches expiration on March 27, with trader consensus pricing in end-of-month levels shaped by Fed policy signals and inflation dynamics. The metal's recent rally to a record $2,229/oz stemmed from safe-haven demand amid Middle East tensions, robust central bank purchases (led by China), and initial rate-cut hopes, but pulled back on strong U.S. jobs data and the FOMC's March 20 decision to hold rates steady while trimming 2024 cut projections to three. Critical ahead: March 29 core PCE inflation release—consensus eyes 0.3% monthly gain; softer data could boost non-yielding gold via weaker USD and Treasury yields, while hotter prints reinforce hawkish stance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$144,570End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) trade near $2,165/oz as the March contract approaches expiration on March 27, with trader consensus pricing in end-of-month levels shaped by Fed policy signals and inflation dynamics. The metal's recent rally to a record $2,229/oz stemmed from safe-haven demand amid Middle East tensions, robust central bank purchases (led by China), and initial rate-cut hopes, but pulled back on strong U.S. jobs data and the FOMC's March 20 decision to hold rates steady while trimming 2024 cut projections to three. Critical ahead: March 29 core PCE inflation release—consensus eyes 0.3% monthly gain; softer data could boost non-yielding gold via weaker USD and Treasury yields, while hotter prints reinforce hawkish stance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$144,570End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) trade near $2,165/oz as the March contract approaches expiration on March 27, with trader consensus pricing in end-of-month levels shaped by Fed policy signals and inflation dynamics. The metal's recent rally to a record $2,229/oz stemmed from safe-haven demand amid Middle East tensions, robust central bank purchases (led by China), and initial rate-cut hopes, but pulled back on strong U.S. jobs data and the FOMC's March 20 decision to hold rates steady while trimming 2024 cut projections to three. Critical ahead: March 29 core PCE inflation release—consensus eyes 0.3% monthly gain; softer data could boost non-yielding gold via weaker USD and Treasury yields, while hotter prints reinforce hawkish stance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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