Geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions have propelled WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures above $82 per barrel, driving Polymarket's implied probability to 42% for hitting $85 by June 30 amid trader consensus on supply disruptions. Yet, countervailing pressures from EIA-reported U.S. inventory builds of 3.6 million barrels last week and softening Chinese demand growth cap upside, with global oversupply risks weighing on sentiment. Key thresholds hover at $83.50 resistance; watch Thursday's EIA storage report and OPEC+ signals for volatility, as summer driving season could add 200K bpd demand if prices stabilize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$1,763,737 Vol.
↑ $200
15%
↑ $175
20%
↑ $150
31%
↑ $140
38%
↑ $130
45%
↑ $120
57%
↑ $115
63%
↑ $110
77%
↑ $105
84%
↑ $100
86%
↓ $90
67%
↓ $85
52%
↓ $80
54%
↓ $70
31%
↓ $60
22%
↓ $55
12%
↓ $52
10%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
4%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $35
2%
$1,763,737 Vol.
↑ $200
15%
↑ $175
20%
↑ $150
31%
↑ $140
38%
↑ $130
45%
↑ $120
57%
↑ $115
63%
↑ $110
77%
↑ $105
84%
↑ $100
86%
↓ $90
67%
↓ $85
52%
↓ $80
54%
↓ $70
31%
↓ $60
22%
↓ $55
12%
↓ $52
10%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
4%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions have propelled WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures above $82 per barrel, driving Polymarket's implied probability to 42% for hitting $85 by June 30 amid trader consensus on supply disruptions. Yet, countervailing pressures from EIA-reported U.S. inventory builds of 3.6 million barrels last week and softening Chinese demand growth cap upside, with global oversupply risks weighing on sentiment. Key thresholds hover at $83.50 resistance; watch Thursday's EIA storage report and OPEC+ signals for volatility, as summer driving season could add 200K bpd demand if prices stabilize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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