Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026 remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices near term. Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day have tightened balances, supporting benchmarks near $90–$106 amid an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day inventory draw in the second quarter. WTI futures have traded in the $90–$105 range with elevated risk premiums, though softer 2026 demand growth—revised lower due to high prices—and potential diplomatic progress on reopening the strait introduce downside risks. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory data, refinery utilization, and negotiations for shifts in near-term pricing through June.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO Petróleo Bruto (CL) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
$19,552,022 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $150
5%
↑ $140
8%
↑ $130
9%
↑ $120
17%
↑ $115
21%
↑ $110
28%
↑ $105
40%
↓ $90
91%
↓ $85
68%
↓ $80
60%
↓ $70
17%
↓ $60
7%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
<1%
$19,552,022 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $150
5%
↑ $140
8%
↑ $130
9%
↑ $120
17%
↑ $115
21%
↑ $110
28%
↑ $105
40%
↓ $90
91%
↓ $85
68%
↓ $80
60%
↓ $70
17%
↓ $60
7%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026 remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices near term. Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day have tightened balances, supporting benchmarks near $90–$106 amid an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day inventory draw in the second quarter. WTI futures have traded in the $90–$105 range with elevated risk premiums, though softer 2026 demand growth—revised lower due to high prices—and potential diplomatic progress on reopening the strait introduce downside risks. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory data, refinery utilization, and negotiations for shifts in near-term pricing through June.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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