WTI crude oil futures surged 12% to $112 per barrel on April 2—highest since June 2022—reflecting trader consensus on acute supply disruption risks from prolonged Strait of Hormuz tensions and President Trump's pledge for escalated military action against Iran over the next weeks. This geopolitical premium overshadows OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike for April and a recent 6.9 million barrel build in US commercial inventories to 456 million barrels, tempering near-term bullish momentum. Market-implied paths diverge, with EIA forecasting Brent below $80/bbl by Q3 2026 amid softening global demand, while others eye $85-115 amid persistent risks. Key catalysts include the April 5 OPEC+ meeting and weekly EIA inventory releases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO Petróleo Bruto (CL) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
O Petróleo Bruto (CL) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
$7,021,592 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
23%
↑ $140
30%
↑ $130
43%
↑ $120
66%
↑ $115
79%
↑ $110
100%
↑ $105
100%
↓ $85
59%
↓ $80
47%
↓ $70
25%
↓ $60
11%
↓ $55
7%
↓ $52
5%
↓ $50
3%
↓ $47
3%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $35
2%
$7,021,592 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
23%
↑ $140
30%
↑ $130
43%
↑ $120
66%
↑ $115
79%
↑ $110
100%
↑ $105
100%
↓ $85
59%
↓ $80
47%
↓ $70
25%
↓ $60
11%
↓ $55
7%
↓ $52
5%
↓ $50
3%
↓ $47
3%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures surged 12% to $112 per barrel on April 2—highest since June 2022—reflecting trader consensus on acute supply disruption risks from prolonged Strait of Hormuz tensions and President Trump's pledge for escalated military action against Iran over the next weeks. This geopolitical premium overshadows OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike for April and a recent 6.9 million barrel build in US commercial inventories to 456 million barrels, tempering near-term bullish momentum. Market-implied paths diverge, with EIA forecasting Brent below $80/bbl by Q3 2026 amid softening global demand, while others eye $85-115 amid persistent risks. Key catalysts include the April 5 OPEC+ meeting and weekly EIA inventory releases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions