WTI crude oil (CL) futures have surged above $111 per barrel as of the April 2, 2026, settlement, driven primarily by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including Strait of Hormuz supply disruption risks that have elevated risk premiums and pushed prices past Brent benchmarks. This sharp rally overrides bearish fundamentals like U.S. inventories rising 5.5 million barrels for the week ended March 27—against expectations—and OPEC+ deliberations on further output hikes at their April 6 meeting. Resilient Chinese demand is shifting toward U.S. imports amid regional constraints, while record U.S. production tempers upside. Traders eye weekly EIA reports, potential OPEC+ quota adjustments, and conflict developments through June's end, with forward curves implying possible mean reversion below $90 if risks subside.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO Petróleo Bruto (CL) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
O Petróleo Bruto (CL) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
$7,050,701 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
23%
↑ $140
33%
↑ $130
44%
↑ $120
66%
↑ $115
80%
↑ $110
100%
↑ $105
100%
↓ $85
59%
↓ $80
47%
↓ $70
25%
↓ $60
11%
↓ $55
7%
↓ $52
5%
↓ $50
3%
↓ $47
3%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $35
2%
$7,050,701 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
23%
↑ $140
33%
↑ $130
44%
↑ $120
66%
↑ $115
80%
↑ $110
100%
↑ $105
100%
↓ $85
59%
↓ $80
47%
↓ $70
25%
↓ $60
11%
↓ $55
7%
↓ $52
5%
↓ $50
3%
↓ $47
3%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil (CL) futures have surged above $111 per barrel as of the April 2, 2026, settlement, driven primarily by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including Strait of Hormuz supply disruption risks that have elevated risk premiums and pushed prices past Brent benchmarks. This sharp rally overrides bearish fundamentals like U.S. inventories rising 5.5 million barrels for the week ended March 27—against expectations—and OPEC+ deliberations on further output hikes at their April 6 meeting. Resilient Chinese demand is shifting toward U.S. imports amid regional constraints, while record U.S. production tempers upside. Traders eye weekly EIA reports, potential OPEC+ quota adjustments, and conflict developments through June's end, with forward curves implying possible mean reversion below $90 if risks subside.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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