Gold June (GCM26) futures rallied 3.3% to $4,720 on May 6 amid U.S. dollar weakness (DXY down 0.75% to 97.7), elevating trader consensus toward the $4,600-$5,000 settlement bin at 30.5% implied probability while keeping $4,200-$4,600 competitive at 23.7%. This tight contest reflects offsetting forces: softening dollar and lingering Middle East de-escalation signals supporting modest upside, countered by the Federal Reserve's April 28-29 hawkish hold amid sticky 3.3% March CPI inflation and internal dissent favoring potential rate hikes that weigh on non-yielding gold. Traders eye mid-May April CPI data and the June FOMC meeting as pivotal catalysts for resolution by June 26 settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$4,600-$5,000 31%
$4,200-$4,600 23.7%
$5,000-$5,400 15.3%
$3,800-$4,200 14.3%
$923,500 Vol.
$923,500 Vol.
<$3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
14%
$4,200-$4,600
24%
$4,600-$5,000
31%
$5,000-$5,400
15%
$5,400-$5,800
6%
$5,800-$6,200
3%
>$6,200
2%
$4,600-$5,000 31%
$4,200-$4,600 23.7%
$5,000-$5,400 15.3%
$3,800-$4,200 14.3%
$923,500 Vol.
$923,500 Vol.
<$3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
14%
$4,200-$4,600
24%
$4,600-$5,000
31%
$5,000-$5,400
15%
$5,400-$5,800
6%
$5,800-$6,200
3%
>$6,200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gold June (GCM26) futures rallied 3.3% to $4,720 on May 6 amid U.S. dollar weakness (DXY down 0.75% to 97.7), elevating trader consensus toward the $4,600-$5,000 settlement bin at 30.5% implied probability while keeping $4,200-$4,600 competitive at 23.7%. This tight contest reflects offsetting forces: softening dollar and lingering Middle East de-escalation signals supporting modest upside, countered by the Federal Reserve's April 28-29 hawkish hold amid sticky 3.3% March CPI inflation and internal dissent favoring potential rate hikes that weigh on non-yielding gold. Traders eye mid-May April CPI data and the June FOMC meeting as pivotal catalysts for resolution by June 26 settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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