Recent consolidation in gold prices near $4,520 per ounce, following a correction from the January 2026 peak of $5,589, underpins trader consensus around the $4,200–$4,600 June futures settlement band. Persistent central bank purchases averaging hundreds of tonnes quarterly, combined with lingering geopolitical uncertainties and inflation hedging demand, have supported levels well above historical norms despite firmer Treasury yields and dollar strength that tempered safe-haven flows in recent weeks. Market-implied odds reflect this balance of structural tailwinds against near-term macro data and policy expectations, with limited probability assigned to outsized moves absent major shifts in Fed guidance or escalation elsewhere.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$4,200-$4,600 40.8%
$4,600-$5,000 24%
$3,800-$4,200 13.4%
$5,000-$5,400 7.9%
$971,527 Vol.
$971,527 Vol.
<$3,800
1%
$3,800-$4,200
13%
$4,200-$4,600
41%
$4,600-$5,000
24%
$5,000-$5,400
8%
$5,400-$5,800
2%
$5,800-$6,200
1%
>$6,200
2%
$4,200-$4,600 40.8%
$4,600-$5,000 24%
$3,800-$4,200 13.4%
$5,000-$5,400 7.9%
$971,527 Vol.
$971,527 Vol.
<$3,800
1%
$3,800-$4,200
13%
$4,200-$4,600
41%
$4,600-$5,000
24%
$5,000-$5,400
8%
$5,400-$5,800
2%
$5,800-$6,200
1%
>$6,200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent consolidation in gold prices near $4,520 per ounce, following a correction from the January 2026 peak of $5,589, underpins trader consensus around the $4,200–$4,600 June futures settlement band. Persistent central bank purchases averaging hundreds of tonnes quarterly, combined with lingering geopolitical uncertainties and inflation hedging demand, have supported levels well above historical norms despite firmer Treasury yields and dollar strength that tempered safe-haven flows in recent weeks. Market-implied odds reflect this balance of structural tailwinds against near-term macro data and policy expectations, with limited probability assigned to outsized moves absent major shifts in Fed guidance or escalation elsewhere.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions