Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59% implied probability for June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settlement above $84 per barrel, driven by the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) June 26 report revealing a 4.2 million barrel drawdown in crude inventories—exceeding the 2.1 million barrel consensus forecast—amid sustained OPEC+ voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day extended into Q3 2024. Front-month WTI futures have rallied over 3% this week to near $82/bbl, supported by anticipatory summer driving season demand and a modest IEA upward revision to global oil demand growth forecasts. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East sustain a risk premium, though softening Chinese demand tempers gains; watch next week's EIA data and inventory trends for potential shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 59%
$77-$84 15%
$70-$77 10.5%
$63-$70 9%
$84,741 Vol.
$84,741 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
4%
$56-$63
6%
$63-$70
9%
$70-$77
11%
$77-$84
15%
>$84
59%
>$84 59%
$77-$84 15%
$70-$77 10.5%
$63-$70 9%
$84,741 Vol.
$84,741 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$3,457 Vol.
1%
$42-$49
$2,772 Vol.
1%
$49-$56
$4,146 Vol.
4%
$56-$63
$3,407 Vol.
6%
$63-$70
$15,860 Vol.
9%
$70-$77
$4,296 Vol.
11%
$77-$84
$7,093 Vol.
15%
>$84
$43,710 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59% implied probability for June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settlement above $84 per barrel, driven by the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) June 26 report revealing a 4.2 million barrel drawdown in crude inventories—exceeding the 2.1 million barrel consensus forecast—amid sustained OPEC+ voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day extended into Q3 2024. Front-month WTI futures have rallied over 3% this week to near $82/bbl, supported by anticipatory summer driving season demand and a modest IEA upward revision to global oil demand growth forecasts. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East sustain a risk premium, though softening Chinese demand tempers gains; watch next week's EIA data and inventory trends for potential shifts.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$84,741End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59% implied probability for June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settlement above $84 per barrel, driven by the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) June 26 report revealing a 4.2 million barrel drawdown in crude inventories—exceeding the 2.1 million barrel consensus forecast—amid sustained OPEC+ voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day extended into Q3 2024. Front-month WTI futures have rallied over 3% this week to near $82/bbl, supported by anticipatory summer driving season demand and a modest IEA upward revision to global oil demand growth forecasts. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East sustain a risk premium, though softening Chinese demand tempers gains; watch next week's EIA data and inventory trends for potential shifts.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$84,741End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59% implied probability for June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settlement above $84 per barrel, driven by the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) June 26 report revealing a 4.2 million barrel drawdown in crude inventories—exceeding the 2.1 million barrel consensus forecast—amid sustained OPEC+ voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day extended into Q3 2024. Front-month WTI futures have rallied over 3% this week to near $82/bbl, supported by anticipatory summer driving season demand and a modest IEA upward revision to global oil demand growth forecasts. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East sustain a risk premium, though softening Chinese demand tempers gains; watch next week's EIA data and inventory trends for potential shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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