Traders on Polymarket price a 59% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) June contract settlement above $84, reflecting tight supply dynamics from OPEC+'s June 2 extension of 2.2 million barrels per day voluntary cuts through Q3, alongside a sharper-than-expected 4.15 million barrel crude inventory draw in the EIA's June 5 report—exceeding forecasts by over 2 million barrels. Gasoline stocks fell 4.8 million barrels, bolstering summer driving season demand outlooks amid steady U.S. refinery utilization near 93%. Geopolitical risks, including Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries curbing ~10% of processing capacity, further underpin bullish sentiment, though Fed higher-for-longer policy tempers recession fears weighing on global demand. Next EIA data on June 12 and potential Middle East escalations loom as key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 60%
$77-$84 15%
$70-$77 10.9%
$63-$70 9%
$84,671 Vol.
$84,671 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
5%
$56-$63
7%
$63-$70
9%
$70-$77
11%
$77-$84
15%
>$84
60%
>$84 60%
$77-$84 15%
$70-$77 10.9%
$63-$70 9%
$84,671 Vol.
$84,671 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$3,457 Vol.
1%
$42-$49
$2,772 Vol.
1%
$49-$56
$4,146 Vol.
5%
$56-$63
$3,407 Vol.
7%
$63-$70
$15,860 Vol.
9%
$70-$77
$4,296 Vol.
11%
$77-$84
$7,093 Vol.
15%
>$84
$43,640 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Traders on Polymarket price a 59% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) June contract settlement above $84, reflecting tight supply dynamics from OPEC+'s June 2 extension of 2.2 million barrels per day voluntary cuts through Q3, alongside a sharper-than-expected 4.15 million barrel crude inventory draw in the EIA's June 5 report—exceeding forecasts by over 2 million barrels. Gasoline stocks fell 4.8 million barrels, bolstering summer driving season demand outlooks amid steady U.S. refinery utilization near 93%. Geopolitical risks, including Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries curbing ~10% of processing capacity, further underpin bullish sentiment, though Fed higher-for-longer policy tempers recession fears weighing on global demand. Next EIA data on June 12 and potential Middle East escalations loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$84,671End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Traders on Polymarket price a 59% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) June contract settlement above $84, reflecting tight supply dynamics from OPEC+'s June 2 extension of 2.2 million barrels per day voluntary cuts through Q3, alongside a sharper-than-expected 4.15 million barrel crude inventory draw in the EIA's June 5 report—exceeding forecasts by over 2 million barrels. Gasoline stocks fell 4.8 million barrels, bolstering summer driving season demand outlooks amid steady U.S. refinery utilization near 93%. Geopolitical risks, including Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries curbing ~10% of processing capacity, further underpin bullish sentiment, though Fed higher-for-longer policy tempers recession fears weighing on global demand. Next EIA data on June 12 and potential Middle East escalations loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$84,671End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders on Polymarket price a 59% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) June contract settlement above $84, reflecting tight supply dynamics from OPEC+'s June 2 extension of 2.2 million barrels per day voluntary cuts through Q3, alongside a sharper-than-expected 4.15 million barrel crude inventory draw in the EIA's June 5 report—exceeding forecasts by over 2 million barrels. Gasoline stocks fell 4.8 million barrels, bolstering summer driving season demand outlooks amid steady U.S. refinery utilization near 93%. Geopolitical risks, including Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries curbing ~10% of processing capacity, further underpin bullish sentiment, though Fed higher-for-longer policy tempers recession fears weighing on global demand. Next EIA data on June 12 and potential Middle East escalations loom as key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions