Recent developments around potential US-Iran agreements to reopen the Strait of Hormuz have tempered earlier price spikes from Middle East supply disruptions, with WTI crude futures recently trading near $75 per barrel. Persistent global inventory draws and shut-in production continue to support elevated levels, while softer demand signals and expectations of gradual supply normalization create downward pressure. These crosscurrents leave the $70–77 range as the market-implied frontrunner at 31%, narrowly ahead of the $77–84 bucket, reflecting trader uncertainty over whether geopolitical easing or ongoing tightness will dominate June settlement. Key near-term catalysts include further diplomatic updates and weekly inventory data that could shift positioning in this closely contested range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será o preço do Petróleo Bruto (CL) em junho?
$70-$77 31.6%
$77-$84 24%
>US$84 17%
$63-$70 11.3%
$243,860 Vol.
$243,860 Vol.
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
11%
$70-$77
32%
$77-$84
24%
>US$84
17%
$70-$77 31.6%
$77-$84 24%
>US$84 17%
$63-$70 11.3%
$243,860 Vol.
$243,860 Vol.
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
11%
$70-$77
32%
$77-$84
24%
>US$84
17%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments around potential US-Iran agreements to reopen the Strait of Hormuz have tempered earlier price spikes from Middle East supply disruptions, with WTI crude futures recently trading near $75 per barrel. Persistent global inventory draws and shut-in production continue to support elevated levels, while softer demand signals and expectations of gradual supply normalization create downward pressure. These crosscurrents leave the $70–77 range as the market-implied frontrunner at 31%, narrowly ahead of the $77–84 bucket, reflecting trader uncertainty over whether geopolitical easing or ongoing tightness will dominate June settlement. Key near-term catalysts include further diplomatic updates and weekly inventory data that could shift positioning in this closely contested range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions