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Legal predictions & odds

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SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

87%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

5%

$156K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Chirayu Rana sued?

Chirayu Rana sued?

82%

$114K Vol.

$40.3K Liq.

29

Ends in 8 months

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

14%

$10M Vol.

$117K Liq.

267

Ends in 8 months

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

37%

No to ten million Switzerland

$64.1K Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

6%

$239K Vol.

$44.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 25 days

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

1%

$61.3K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

24

Ends in about 2 months

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

48%

BMO

$478K Vol.

$40.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

18%

December 31

$425K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

14%

JetBlue

$2.6K Vol.

$63.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

63%

Beyond Meat

$131K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

21

Ends in 8 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

96%

Pass 3-6%

$547K Vol.

$89.9K Liq.

63

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

65%

1-100

$176K Vol.

$151K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?

Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?

5%

$11.2K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

95%

$48.3K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

37

Ends in 8 months

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

17%

December 31, 2026

$429K Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

48

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

38%

OpenAI

$81.7K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

6%

$9.3K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

18%

$17.6K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

NATO dissolves before 2027?

NATO dissolves before 2027?

7%

$75.8K Vol.

$59.9K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Legal.

Polymarket currently hosts 281 active markets for Legal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $13.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 87% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Legal predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.