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icon for 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?

icon for 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$154,138 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$154,138 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 100% "No" for a MrBeast video hitting 100 million views in its first week by March 31, as the deadline passed with verified YouTube analytics confirming shortfalls across Q1 2026 uploads. High-stakes challenge videos like "Survive 30 Days Trapped In The Sky, Win $250,000" peaked at 94 million day-7 views, while March releases—"Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" and "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" (March 21)—trailed under 90 million by their seventh day, per Viewstats data. MrBeast's reduced upload frequency, prioritizing Beast Games on Amazon, curbed viral momentum despite his 474 million subscribers. Realistic upsets are negligible post-deadline, barring unprecedented YouTube view revisions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Volume
$154,138
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 4:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 100% "No" for a MrBeast video hitting 100 million views in its first week by March 31, as the deadline passed with verified YouTube analytics confirming shortfalls across Q1 2026 uploads. High-stakes challenge videos like "Survive 30 Days Trapped In The Sky, Win $250,000" peaked at 94 million day-7 views, while March releases—"Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" and "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" (March 21)—trailed under 90 million by their seventh day, per Viewstats data. MrBeast's reduced upload frequency, prioritizing Beast Games on Amazon, curbed viral momentum despite his 474 million subscribers. Realistic upsets are negligible post-deadline, barring unprecedented YouTube view revisions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Volume
$154,138
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 4:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?" has generated $154.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.