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100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?

Market icon

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?

Mar 31

Mar 31

<1% chance
Polymarket

$144,493 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$144,493 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 99.6% implied probability to "No" for any MrBeast video reaching 100 million YouTube views within its first seven days by March 31, driven by the YouTube sensation's latest release, "I Survived 50 Hours In Antarctica" on March 1, which tallied about 85 million views through March 8 despite shattering 24-hour records at over 50 million. No new uploads have followed amid his typical 2-4 week cadence, leaving scant time for a late entrant—needing a drop by March 24—to rack up the metric before deadline. This skin-in-the-game assessment underscores the challenge's precision, as even mega-virals often crest 100 million on day 8 or later. Realistic upsets hinge on an unannounced blockbuster challenge premiering imminently and exploding via algorithmic push and cross-platform hype.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 99.6% implied probability to "No" for any MrBeast video reaching 100 million YouTube views within its first seven days by March 31, driven by the YouTube sensation's latest release, "I Survived 50 Hours In Antarctica" on March 1, which tallied about 85 million views through March 8 despite shattering 24-hour records at over 50 million. No new uploads have followed amid his typical 2-4 week cadence, leaving scant time for a late entrant—needing a drop by March 24—to rack up the metric before deadline. This skin-in-the-game assessment underscores the challenge's precision, as even mega-virals often crest 100 million on day 8 or later. Realistic upsets hinge on an unannounced blockbuster challenge premiering imminently and exploding via algorithmic push and cross-platform hype.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 99.6% implied probability to "No" for any MrBeast video reaching 100 million YouTube views within its first seven days by March 31, driven by the YouTube sensation's latest release, "I Survived 50 Hours In Antarctica" on March 1, which tallied about 85 million views through March 8 despite shattering 24-hour records at over 50 million. No new uploads have followed amid his typical 2-4 week cadence, leaving scant time for a late entrant—needing a drop by March 24—to rack up the metric before deadline. This skin-in-the-game assessment underscores the challenge's precision, as even mega-virals often crest 100 million on day 8 or later. Realistic upsets hinge on an unannounced blockbuster challenge premiering imminently and exploding via algorithmic push and cross-platform hype.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 99.6% implied probability to "No" for any MrBeast video reaching 100 million YouTube views within its first seven days by March 31, driven by the YouTube sensation's latest release, "I Survived 50 Hours In Antarctica" on March 1, which tallied about 85 million views through March 8 despite shattering 24-hour records at over 50 million. No new uploads have followed amid his typical 2-4 week cadence, leaving scant time for a late entrant—needing a drop by March 24—to rack up the metric before deadline. This skin-in-the-game assessment underscores the challenge's precision, as even mega-virals often crest 100 million on day 8 or later. Realistic upsets hinge on an unannounced blockbuster challenge premiering imminently and exploding via algorithmic push and cross-platform hype.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?" has generated $144.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.