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Geopolitics·Supreme Leader

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Market icon
Geopolitics·Supreme Leader

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

$286,443 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$286,443 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$28,469 Vol.

2%

June 30

$11,245 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the ascension of his son Mojtaba as new Supreme Leader in early March 2026, President Trump has publicly stated that Mojtaba is "unavailable" for direct talks while revealing US envoys' negotiations with other senior Iranian officials like parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf—claims denied by Tehran as divisive plots. Ongoing airstrikes, Trump's threats to intensify attacks absent a deal, and unverified reports of Mojtaba's critical health condition underscore significant barriers to personal diplomacy, reflected in traders' low implied probabilities. Upcoming escalation signals or breakthroughs in indirect nuclear and ceasefire discussions could alter dynamics before any resolution deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$286,443
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the ascension of his son Mojtaba as new Supreme Leader in early March 2026, President Trump has publicly stated that Mojtaba is "unavailable" for direct talks while revealing US envoys' negotiations with other senior Iranian officials like parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf—claims denied by Tehran as divisive plots. Ongoing airstrikes, Trump's threats to intensify attacks absent a deal, and unverified reports of Mojtaba's critical health condition underscore significant barriers to personal diplomacy, reflected in traders' low implied probabilities. Upcoming escalation signals or breakthroughs in indirect nuclear and ceasefire discussions could alter dynamics before any resolution deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$286,443
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30" at 7%, followed by "April 30" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" has generated $286.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" is "June 30" at just 7%, with "April 30" close behind at 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.