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Supreme Leader predictions & odds

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Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

6%

$75.6K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

35%

December 31

$14M Vol.

$257K Liq.

1,077

Ends in 8 months

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

6%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$26.3K Liq.

168

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

64%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$8M Vol.

$1M Liq.

108

Ends in 8 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

9%

$579K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

25

Ends in 8 months

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

2%

June 30

$163K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

1%

$3M Vol.

$121K today

$52.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

18%

December 31

$259K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

56

Ends in 8 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

43%

Petro - Colombia President

$283K Vol.

$285K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%

$9M Vol.

$118K today

$188K Liq.

707

Ends in 8 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

8%

$1M Vol.

$104K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

8%

$44.0K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

85%

Delcy Rodríguez

$16.4K Vol.

$501K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

26%

$5.6K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

2%

$16.8K Vol.

$32.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

11%

$32.1K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

1%

$19M Vol.

$325K today

$935K Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

13%

$3.8K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M Vol.

$208K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

14%

$11.3K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Supreme Leader.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Supreme Leader that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $61.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Xi Jinping out before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran leadership change by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Supreme Leader predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.