Traders' strong consensus favoring "No" at 92% reflects Prime Minister Narendra Modi's secure position through his Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition, which commands a stable Lok Sabha majority until the next general election in 2029. No snap election or no-confidence vote looms, with the government's term intact absent extraordinary disruptions like health events or major scandals. Recent developments, including Modi's active campaigning in April 2026 state assembly polls in West Bengal and Assam, cabinet approvals for infrastructure projects, and debunked opposition rumors of resignation, reinforce this stability. Partisan claims from figures like Arvind Kejriwal predicting an early exit remain unsubstantiated speculation, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing low risk of departure by year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$20,044 Vol.
$20,044 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$20,044 Vol.
$20,044 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong consensus favoring "No" at 92% reflects Prime Minister Narendra Modi's secure position through his Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition, which commands a stable Lok Sabha majority until the next general election in 2029. No snap election or no-confidence vote looms, with the government's term intact absent extraordinary disruptions like health events or major scandals. Recent developments, including Modi's active campaigning in April 2026 state assembly polls in West Bengal and Assam, cabinet approvals for infrastructure projects, and debunked opposition rumors of resignation, reinforce this stability. Partisan claims from figures like Arvind Kejriwal predicting an early exit remain unsubstantiated speculation, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing low risk of departure by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$20,044End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong consensus favoring "No" at 92% reflects Prime Minister Narendra Modi's secure position through his Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition, which commands a stable Lok Sabha majority until the next general election in 2029. No snap election or no-confidence vote looms, with the government's term intact absent extraordinary disruptions like health events or major scandals. Recent developments, including Modi's active campaigning in April 2026 state assembly polls in West Bengal and Assam, cabinet approvals for infrastructure projects, and debunked opposition rumors of resignation, reinforce this stability. Partisan claims from figures like Arvind Kejriwal predicting an early exit remain unsubstantiated speculation, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing low risk of departure by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,044End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' strong consensus favoring "No" at 92% reflects Prime Minister Narendra Modi's secure position through his Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition, which commands a stable Lok Sabha majority until the next general election in 2029. No snap election or no-confidence vote looms, with the government's term intact absent extraordinary disruptions like health events or major scandals. Recent developments, including Modi's active campaigning in April 2026 state assembly polls in West Bengal and Assam, cabinet approvals for infrastructure projects, and debunked opposition rumors of resignation, reinforce this stability. Partisan claims from figures like Arvind Kejriwal predicting an early exit remain unsubstantiated speculation, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing low risk of departure by year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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