**Narendra Modi continues to lead India's government with a stable NDA majority in the Lok Sabha, where his term runs until mid-2029.** Recent developments include his hosting of the BRICS summit in New Delhi in September 2026, bilateral meetings with leaders such as Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin, and ongoing infrastructure and foreign policy initiatives that underscore active executive authority. In June 2026 he became India's longest-serving democratically elected prime minister, surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru, with no parliamentary defeats or coalition fractures that would trigger resignation or removal. Mid-2026 student protests over exam irregularities prompted one cabinet resignation but produced no broader challenge to Modi's position. Polling through August 2026 shows him remaining the preferred prime ministerial choice for roughly half of respondents, while opposition criticism centers on policy and economic issues rather than immediate leadership change. With the next general election not due until 2029 and no scheduled constitutional triggers before December 2026, trader consensus reflects the absence of near-term mechanisms or political momentum capable of ending his tenure by year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
$252,183 Vol.
$252,183 Vol.
$252,183 Vol.
$252,183 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Narendra Modi continues to lead India's government with a stable NDA majority in the Lok Sabha, where his term runs until mid-2029.** Recent developments include his hosting of the BRICS summit in New Delhi in September 2026, bilateral meetings with leaders such as Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin, and ongoing infrastructure and foreign policy initiatives that underscore active executive authority. In June 2026 he became India's longest-serving democratically elected prime minister, surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru, with no parliamentary defeats or coalition fractures that would trigger resignation or removal. Mid-2026 student protests over exam irregularities prompted one cabinet resignation but produced no broader challenge to Modi's position. Polling through August 2026 shows him remaining the preferred prime ministerial choice for roughly half of respondents, while opposition criticism centers on policy and economic issues rather than immediate leadership change. With the next general election not due until 2029 and no scheduled constitutional triggers before December 2026, trader consensus reflects the absence of near-term mechanisms or political momentum capable of ending his tenure by year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions