Tensions between India and Pakistan remain elevated one year after the May 2025 conflict, during which Indian forces conducted Operation Sindoor strikes on alleged militant sites in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Kashmir following an April 2025 terrorist attack in Pahalgam that killed 26 people. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire has held since May 10, 2025, with both sides exchanging limited fire along the Line of Control but avoiding broader escalation. Pakistan’s military marked the anniversary by warning of a strong response to any new attacks, while India’s leadership reaffirmed commitment to countering terrorism. Indian forces are on heightened alert in Jammu and Kashmir amid intelligence reports of potential infiltration by 1,000–1,500 militants. Analysts note a moderate risk of renewed confrontation in 2026 driven by unresolved Kashmir disputes, cross-border militant activity, and frozen diplomatic ties, though no major military actions have occurred in recent months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИндия наносит удар по Пакистану...?
$948,294 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
24%
$948,294 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
24%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between India and Pakistan remain elevated one year after the May 2025 conflict, during which Indian forces conducted Operation Sindoor strikes on alleged militant sites in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Kashmir following an April 2025 terrorist attack in Pahalgam that killed 26 people. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire has held since May 10, 2025, with both sides exchanging limited fire along the Line of Control but avoiding broader escalation. Pakistan’s military marked the anniversary by warning of a strong response to any new attacks, while India’s leadership reaffirmed commitment to countering terrorism. Indian forces are on heightened alert in Jammu and Kashmir amid intelligence reports of potential infiltration by 1,000–1,500 militants. Analysts note a moderate risk of renewed confrontation in 2026 driven by unresolved Kashmir disputes, cross-border militant activity, and frozen diplomatic ties, though no major military actions have occurred in recent months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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