Tensions between India and Pakistan remain elevated one year after the May 2025 four-day conflict, during which Indian forces conducted Operation Sindoor missile and air strikes on alleged militant infrastructure following a deadly attack in Indian-administered Kashmir. The U.S.-brokered ceasefire continues to hold, yet both sides issued pointed warnings around the anniversary, with Pakistan’s military stressing a firm response to any incursion and Indian officials reaffirming readiness to act against provocations. Unresolved disputes over Kashmir, cross-border militant activity, and frozen diplomatic ties sustain assessments of confrontation risk. Recent unofficial calls for dialogue in India have not produced formal engagement, while analyses highlight moderate prospects for renewed clashes amid routine border incidents and domestic political signaling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИндия наносит удар по Пакистану...?
$948,568 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
26%
$948,568 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
26%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between India and Pakistan remain elevated one year after the May 2025 four-day conflict, during which Indian forces conducted Operation Sindoor missile and air strikes on alleged militant infrastructure following a deadly attack in Indian-administered Kashmir. The U.S.-brokered ceasefire continues to hold, yet both sides issued pointed warnings around the anniversary, with Pakistan’s military stressing a firm response to any incursion and Indian officials reaffirming readiness to act against provocations. Unresolved disputes over Kashmir, cross-border militant activity, and frozen diplomatic ties sustain assessments of confrontation risk. Recent unofficial calls for dialogue in India have not produced formal engagement, while analyses highlight moderate prospects for renewed clashes amid routine border incidents and domestic political signaling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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