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icon for Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Geopolitics·Trump

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

icon for Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Geopolitics·Trump

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$833,469 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$833,469 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.3% on President Trump formally renaming the Strait of Hormuz—"a vital chokepoint for one-fifth of global oil shipments"—due to insurmountable procedural barriers requiring multilateral agreements with Iran, Oman, UAE, and international bodies like the UN, beyond any unilateral executive action or presidential memorandum. Trump's April 30 social media repost of a meme map labeled "Strait of Trump," amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis and Iran's blockade since February, fueled brief rhetorical buzz but sparked no official process; recent focus remains on US diplomatic pushes, including a May 7 UN resolution bid and paused "Project Freedom" to escort ships. With two weeks to May 31 resolution, only an extraordinary military seizure enforcing the name could shift odds, though traders see negligible risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$833,469
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.3% on President Trump formally renaming the Strait of Hormuz—"a vital chokepoint for one-fifth of global oil shipments"—due to insurmountable procedural barriers requiring multilateral agreements with Iran, Oman, UAE, and international bodies like the UN, beyond any unilateral executive action or presidential memorandum. Trump's April 30 social media repost of a meme map labeled "Strait of Trump," amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis and Iran's blockade since February, fueled brief rhetorical buzz but sparked no official process; recent focus remains on US diplomatic pushes, including a May 7 UN resolution bid and paused "Project Freedom" to escort ships. With two weeks to May 31 resolution, only an extraordinary military seizure enforcing the name could shift odds, though traders see negligible risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$833,608
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 1% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 1¢, the market collectively assigns a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?" has generated $833.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?" is 1% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.