Trader consensus prices "Down" at 97.8% for President Trump's weekly approval rating change, reflecting a sharp decline in the Silver Bulletin polling average to 39% approval as of April 24, driven by a deluge of new polls like AP-NORC, Reuters/Ipsos, and NBC showing second-term lows around 36-37%. Key drags include public disapproval of the ongoing Iran war—58% oppose U.S. involvement—and inflation concerns, with economic approval net -40 amid rising gas and food prices. With the week nearly over and midterms looming, reversal seems improbable barring a late diplomatic breakthrough on Iran, outlier positive poll, or upbeat economic data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
$2,938 Vol.
$2,938 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
Up
$2,938 Vol.
$2,938 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus prices "Down" at 97.8% for President Trump's weekly approval rating change, reflecting a sharp decline in the Silver Bulletin polling average to 39% approval as of April 24, driven by a deluge of new polls like AP-NORC, Reuters/Ipsos, and NBC showing second-term lows around 36-37%. Key drags include public disapproval of the ongoing Iran war—58% oppose U.S. involvement—and inflation concerns, with economic approval net -40 amid rising gas and food prices. With the week nearly over and midterms looming, reversal seems improbable barring a late diplomatic breakthrough on Iran, outlier positive poll, or upbeat economic data.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Volume
$2,938End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Down
No dispute
Final outcome: Down
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus prices "Down" at 97.8% for President Trump's weekly approval rating change, reflecting a sharp decline in the Silver Bulletin polling average to 39% approval as of April 24, driven by a deluge of new polls like AP-NORC, Reuters/Ipsos, and NBC showing second-term lows around 36-37%. Key drags include public disapproval of the ongoing Iran war—58% oppose U.S. involvement—and inflation concerns, with economic approval net -40 amid rising gas and food prices. With the week nearly over and midterms looming, reversal seems improbable barring a late diplomatic breakthrough on Iran, outlier positive poll, or upbeat economic data.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2,938End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Down
No dispute
Final outcome: Down
Trader consensus prices "Down" at 97.8% for President Trump's weekly approval rating change, reflecting a sharp decline in the Silver Bulletin polling average to 39% approval as of April 24, driven by a deluge of new polls like AP-NORC, Reuters/Ipsos, and NBC showing second-term lows around 36-37%. Key drags include public disapproval of the ongoing Iran war—58% oppose U.S. involvement—and inflation concerns, with economic approval net -40 amid rising gas and food prices. With the week nearly over and midterms looming, reversal seems improbable barring a late diplomatic breakthrough on Iran, outlier positive poll, or upbeat economic data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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