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Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
20%
chance
Yes
No
$11m Vol.
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
January 16
6%
January 17
1%
$2m Vol.
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
2%
$1m Vol.
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
January 31
18%
March 31, 2026
45%
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
40%
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
53%
$255k Vol.
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
$67k Vol.
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
13%
$239k Vol.
Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?
3%
$30k Vol.
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
March 31
24%
June 30
36%
$4m Vol.
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
42%
$928 Vol.
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
71%
$11k Vol.
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
12%
$42k Vol.
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?
10%
$14k Vol.
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
$2k Vol.
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
52%
$59k Vol.
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
8%
$39k Vol.
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
30%
December 31
56%
$1k Vol.
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland
57%
Azerbaijan
38%
$10k Vol.
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